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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Augsburg
S S T T S
1–4
Full-time
FC Koln
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
42%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 62%
55%
68%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 14. · FC Koln 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 24 3 4 +62 75
2 Dortmund 31 20 3 8 +31 63
3 Leverkusen 31 16 7 8 +28 55
4 RB Leipzig 31 16 6 9 +33 54
5 Freiburg 31 14 10 7 +15 52
6 Union Berlin 32 14 9 9 +2 51
7 FC Koln 31 13 10 8 +2 49
8 Hoffenheim 31 13 7 11 +5 46
9 Ein Frankfurt 31 10 10 11 -2 40
10 Mainz 31 11 6 14 +2 39
11 M'gladbach 31 10 8 13 -13 38
12 Wolfsburg 31 11 4 16 -12 37
13 Bochum 31 10 6 15 -15 36
14 Augsburg 31 9 8 14 -11 35
15 Hertha 31 9 5 17 -32 32
16 Stuttgart 31 6 10 15 -19 28
17 Bielefeld 31 5 11 15 -25 26
18 Greuther Furth 32 3 9 20 -51 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg FC Koln
12′
J. Thielmann 0–1
B. Schmitz
15′
M. Uth 0–2
J. Thielmann
Carlos Gruezo 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–2
F. Uduokhai 🔁
↦ Iago
50′
53′
🟨 Jan Thielmann
60′
🟨 Florian Kainz
A. Maier 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
61′
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
61′
63′
A. Modeste 0–3
Reece Oxford 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 L. Schaub
↦ F. Kainz
71′
🔁 T. Lemperle
↦ J. Thielmann
1–3 F. Niederlechner
A. Maier
73′
75′
🟨 Timo Hübers
77′
A. Modeste 1–4
M. Uth
80′
🟨 Luca Kilian
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
80′
R. Framberger 🔁
↦ R. Gumny
80′
84′
🔁 J. Chabot
↦ L. Kilian
84′
🔁 M. Olesen
↦ M. Uth
91′
🔁 K. Schindler
↦ A. Modeste
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Augsburg

3-4-2-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
4 R. Oxford D
2 R. Gumny D
22 Iago M
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
8 C. Gruezo M
30 N. Dorsch M
16 R. Vargas F
11 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (9)
19 F. Uduokhai
10 A. Maier
7 F. Niederlechner
27 A. Finnbogason
32 R. Framberger
14 J. Morávek
40 T. Koubek
29 L. Günther
18 R. Pepi

Coach: M. Weinzierl

FC Koln

4-1-3-2
20 M. Schwäbe G
2 B. Schmitz D
4 T. Hübers D
15 L. Kilian D
11 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector D
28 E. Skhiri M
7 D. Ljubičić M
29 J. Thielmann F
27 A. Modeste F
13 M. Uth M
Bench (9)
21 L. Schaub
25 T. Lemperle
24 J. Chabot
47 M. Olesen
17 K. Schindler
1 T. Horn
5 B. Arrey-Mbi
19 K. Ehizibue
23 J. Horn

Coach: S. Baumgart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U
3,44
B ✓
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.