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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Hertha
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Bochum
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
3,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 24%
19%
28%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
56%
59%
Both score Ø 58%
66%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
2,1
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,13 xG 1,16
51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 18. · Bochum 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 20 8 4 +55 +17.7 68
2 Dortmund 32 21 4 7 +36 +18.8 67
3 RB Leipzig 32 18 6 8 +19 +11.9 60
4 Union Berlin 32 17 8 7 +14 -4.4 59
5 Freiburg 33 17 8 8 +8 -4.7 59
6 Leverkusen 32 14 7 11 +11 +9.5 49
7 Wolfsburg 33 13 10 10 +10 +4.0 49
8 Ein Frankfurt 32 12 10 10 +5 +0.4 46
9 Mainz 32 12 9 11 +2 -1.4 45
10 FC Koln 32 10 11 11 -4 +4.6 41
11 M'gladbach 32 10 9 13 -5 -6.3 39
12 Werder Bremen 32 10 5 17 -12 -6.9 35
13 Augsburg 32 9 7 16 -16 -7.7 34
14 Hoffenheim 32 9 5 18 -11 -5.3 32
15 Bochum 32 9 4 19 -35 -10.0 31
16 Schalke 04 32 7 9 16 -34 -7.1 30
17 Stuttgart 32 6 11 15 -15 +0.9 29
18 Hertha 32 6 7 19 -28 -14.0 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Bochum
Dodi Lukebakio ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
21′
37′
🟨 Anthony Losilla
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Tousart
M. Richter
63′
C. Ejuke 🔁
↦ M. Richter
65′
J. Boëtius 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
65′
70′
🔁 G. Holtmann
↦ P. Förster
74′
🔁 M. Broschinski
↦ D. Heintz
81′
🔁 S. Zoller
↦ T. Asano
81′
🔁 K. Schlotterbeck
↦ E. Mašović
Maximilian Mittelstädt 🟨
82′
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
86′
M. Plattenhardt 🔁
↦ M. Mittelstädt
86′
94′
K. Schlotterbeck 1–1
K. Stöger
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-3-3
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
3 A. Rogel D
31 M. Dárdai D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
8 S. Serdar M
29 L. Tousart M
27 K. Boateng M
14 D. Lukébakio F
19 S. Jovetić F
23 M. Richter F
Bench (9)
40 C. Ejuke
10 J. Boëtius
7 F. Niederlechner
21 M. Plattenhardt
2 P. Pekarík
30 I. Maza
12 T. Ernst
39 D. Scherhant
41 P. Klemens

Coach: P. Dárdai

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
23 S. Janko D
20 I. Ordets D
4 E. Mašović D
30 D. Heintz D
7 K. Stöger M
8 A. Losilla M
10 P. Förster M
11 T. Asano F
33 P. Hofmann F
22 C. Antwi-Adjei F
Bench (9)
17 G. Holtmann
29 M. Broschinski
9 S. Zoller
31 K. Schlotterbeck
21 M. Esser
24 V. Lampropoulos
28 P. Kunde
3 Danilo Soares
2 C. Gamboa

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U ✓
3,76
B
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.