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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Barcelona

S T S S S

1–2

Full-time

Sociedad

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 66%

79%

53%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

47%

29%

Both score Ø 33%

24%

41%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,56 xG 2,00

67% Possession 33%

13 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Sociedad 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	34	27	4	3	+51	+15.4	85
2	Real Madrid	34	22	5	7	+38	+17.6	71
3	Ath Madrid	34	21	6	7	+33	+15.9	69
4	Sociedad	34	18	8	8	+14	+5.9	62
5	Villarreal	35	18	6	11	+18	+10.2	60
6	Betis	34	16	7	11	+5	+0.8	55
7	Ath Bilbao	35	14	8	13	+7	+3.9	50
8	Girona	35	13	9	13	+5	-5.8	48
9	Osasuna	34	13	8	13	-4	-10.1	47
10	Sevilla	34	13	8	13	-5	+6.1	47
11	Vallecano	34	12	10	12	-4	-4.0	46
12	Mallorca	35	12	8	15	-7	-4.4	44
13	Celta	35	10	9	16	-10	-3.0	39
14	Almeria	35	11	6	18	-15	-8.0	39
15	Cadiz	35	9	11	15	-22	-5.0	38
16	Valencia	34	10	7	17	-3	-1.6	37
17	Getafe	35	8	11	16	-13	-3.9	35
18	Valladolid	35	10	5	20	-32	-15.4	35
19	Espanol	34	7	10	17	-18	-6.8	31
20	Elche	35	4	8	23	-38	-8.1	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	14	3	0	+31	+11.6	45
2	Real Madrid	17	12	4	1	+27	+15.2	40
3	Ath Madrid	17	11	3	3	+22	+13.6	36
4	Villarreal	17	11	2	4	+16	+9.5	35
5	Girona	18	10	3	5	+10	+2.0	33
6	Sociedad	17	9	5	3	+8	+7.5	32
7	Almeria	18	10	2	6	+7	+1.2	32
8	Betis	17	9	4	4	+9	+1.5	31
9	Vallecano	17	8	5	4	+6	-0.2	29
10	Mallorca	17	8	5	4	+6	+2.3	29
11	Osasuna	17	9	1	7	+0	-2.0	28
12	Ath Bilbao	18	8	3	7	+8	+0.4	27
13	Valencia	17	7	4	6	+7	+4.0	25
14	Sevilla	17	7	4	6	+0	+10.5	25
15	Getafe	18	6	6	6	+0	+1.0	24
16	Cadiz	18	6	6	6	-5	+0.8	24
17	Valladolid	17	7	3	7	-6	-1.6	24
18	Celta	17	6	5	6	+4	+2.7	23
19	Espanol	17	4	5	8	-8	+2.7	17
20	Elche	17	3	4	10	-11	+1.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	13	1	3	+20	+3.8	40
2	Ath Madrid	17	10	3	4	+11	+2.3	33
3	Real Madrid	17	10	1	6	+11	+2.4	31
4	Sociedad	17	9	3	5	+6	-1.6	30
5	Villarreal	18	7	4	7	+2	+0.7	25
6	Betis	17	7	3	7	-4	-0.7	24
7	Ath Bilbao	17	6	5	6	-1	+3.5	23
8	Sevilla	17	6	4	7	-5	-4.4	22
9	Osasuna	17	4	7	6	-4	-8.1	19
10	Vallecano	17	4	5	8	-10	-3.9	17
11	Celta	18	4	4	10	-14	-5.6	16
12	Girona	17	3	6	8	-5	-7.8	15
13	Mallorca	18	4	3	11	-13	-6.7	15
14	Espanol	17	3	5	9	-10	-9.4	14
15	Cadiz	17	3	5	9	-17	-5.8	14
16	Valencia	17	3	3	11	-10	-5.7	12
17	Getafe	17	2	5	10	-13	-4.9	11
18	Valladolid	18	3	2	13	-26	-13.8	11
19	Almeria	17	1	4	12	-22	-9.2	7
20	Elche	18	1	4	13	-27	-9.9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.