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LaLiga2

Referee: Daniel Trujillo

Alaves

U S T U U

2–1

Full-time

Malaga

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,5

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches

Win Ø 35%

45%

25%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

33%

28%

Both score Ø 42%

43%

40%

Average goals

1,9

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 3. · Malaga 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	40	20	9	11	+21	69
2	Las Palmas	40	17	17	6	+17	68
3	Alaves	40	18	13	9	+13	67
4	Eibar	40	18	13	9	+8	67
5	Levante	40	16	18	6	+14	66
6	Albacete	40	16	15	9	+10	63
7	Cartagena	40	16	10	14	+3	58
8	Oviedo	40	15	11	14	-1	56
9	Andorra	40	15	10	15	+9	55
10	Burgos	40	13	15	12	+0	54
11	Tenerife	40	13	14	13	+4	53
12	Zaragoza	41	12	16	13	+1	52
13	Mirandes	40	13	13	14	-3	52
14	Leganes	40	14	10	16	-3	52
15	Santander	40	13	12	15	-2	51
16	Villarreal B	40	13	11	16	-4	50
17	Huesca	40	10	19	11	+0	49
18	Sp Gijon	40	11	16	13	-2	49
19	Malaga	40	10	13	17	-6	43
20	Ponferradina	40	8	16	16	-16	40
21	Ibiza	41	7	12	22	-33	33
22	Lugo	40	5	13	22	-30	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	20	16	4	0	+31	52
2	Alaves	20	12	7	1	+16	43
3	Eibar	20	11	7	2	+11	40
4	Tenerife	20	11	6	3	+15	39
5	Levante	20	10	7	3	+13	37
6	Huesca	20	9	9	2	+11	36
7	Las Palmas	20	9	8	3	+11	35
8	Leganes	20	10	5	5	+4	35
9	Albacete	20	9	7	4	+10	34
10	Mirandes	20	9	7	4	+6	34
11	Andorra	20	10	3	7	+11	33
12	Villarreal B	20	9	6	5	+9	33
13	Sp Gijon	20	8	9	3	+9	33
14	Zaragoza	20	8	9	3	+9	33
15	Burgos	20	8	8	4	+4	32
16	Oviedo	20	9	5	6	+2	32
17	Cartagena	20	9	4	7	+0	31
18	Santander	20	8	6	6	+4	30
19	Malaga	20	7	8	5	+3	29
20	Ponferradina	20	6	6	8	-6	24
21	Ibiza	21	5	7	9	-10	22
22	Lugo	20	3	10	7	-5	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	20	8	9	3	+6	33
2	Levante	20	6	11	3	+1	29
3	Albacete	20	7	8	5	+0	29
4	Cartagena	20	7	6	7	+3	27
5	Eibar	20	7	6	7	-3	27
6	Alaves	20	6	6	8	-3	24
7	Oviedo	20	6	6	8	-3	24
8	Andorra	20	5	7	8	-2	22
9	Burgos	20	5	7	8	-4	22
10	Santander	20	5	6	9	-6	21
11	Zaragoza	21	4	7	10	-8	19
12	Mirandes	20	4	6	10	-9	18
13	Leganes	20	4	5	11	-7	17
14	Granada	20	4	5	11	-10	17
15	Villarreal B	20	4	5	11	-13	17
16	Ponferradina	20	2	10	8	-10	16
17	Sp Gijon	20	3	7	10	-11	16
18	Malaga	20	3	5	12	-9	14
19	Tenerife	20	2	8	10	-11	14
20	Huesca	20	1	10	9	-11	13
21	Ibiza	20	2	5	13	-23	11
22	Lugo	20	2	3	15	-25	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.