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LaLiga2
Referee: Mateo Busquets
Eibar
T U U T T
2–2
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 37%
45%
28%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
33%
30%
Both score Ø 44%
43%
45%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eibar 4. · Sp Gijon 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 40 20 9 11 +21 69
2 Las Palmas 40 17 17 6 +17 68
3 Alaves 40 18 13 9 +13 67
4 Eibar 40 18 13 9 +8 67
5 Levante 40 16 18 6 +14 66
6 Albacete 40 16 15 9 +10 63
7 Cartagena 40 16 10 14 +3 58
8 Oviedo 40 15 11 14 -1 56
9 Andorra 40 15 10 15 +9 55
10 Burgos 40 13 15 12 +0 54
11 Tenerife 40 13 14 13 +4 53
12 Zaragoza 41 12 16 13 +1 52
13 Mirandes 40 13 13 14 -3 52
14 Leganes 40 14 10 16 -3 52
15 Santander 40 13 12 15 -2 51
16 Villarreal B 40 13 11 16 -4 50
17 Huesca 40 10 19 11 +0 49
18 Sp Gijon 40 11 16 13 -2 49
19 Malaga 40 10 13 17 -6 43
20 Ponferradina 40 8 16 16 -16 40
21 Ibiza 41 7 12 22 -33 33
22 Lugo 40 5 13 22 -30 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Sp Gijon
Álvaro Tejero 🟨
7′
16′
ℹ️ Juan Otero
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Stoichkov 🟨
19′
19′
U. Đurđević 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 José Marsà
↦ Dani Queipo
50′
🟨 Ignacio Martín
52′
Aitor García 0–2
G. Blanco 🔁
↦ José Corpas
57′
Y. Rahmani 🔁
↦ Álvaro Vadillo
57′
57′
🔁 Pedro Díaz
↦ Nacho Martín
Álvaro Tejero ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
67′
Ager Aketxe 🔁
↦ Jon Bautista
68′
1–2 Stoichkov
68′
72′
🟨 Carlos Izquierdoz
73′
🔁 Diego Sánchez
↦ Aitor García
80′
🔁 Cristo González
↦ J. Varane
80′
🔁 Christian Rivera
↦ J. Otero
2–2 G. Blanco
Ager Aketxe
90′
93′
🟨 Carlos Izquierdoz
93′
🟥 Carlos Izquierdoz
Gustavo Blanco 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
25 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
22 Peru Nolaskoain M
8 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
19 Stoichkov M
21 Álvaro Vadillo M
18 Jon Bautista F
Bench (10)
9 G. Blanco
11 Y. Rahmani
10 Ager Aketxe
13 Yoel
6 Sergio Álvarez
31 Ángel Troncho
2 Chema Rodríguez
7 Quique González
14 Javi Muñoz
1 Ander Cantero

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Iván Cuéllar G
2 Guille Rosas D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
5 Bruno D
3 Cote D
7 Aitor García M
37 J. Varane M
33 Nacho Martín M
16 Dani Queipo M
19 J. Otero F
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (12)
6 José Marsà
8 Pedro Díaz
32 Diego Sánchez
12 Cristo González
17 Christian Rivera
21 U. Milovanović
13 G. De Amores
29 Jordi Pola
20 J. Carrillo
26 F. Bloch
43 L. Miguel
14 I. Jeraldino

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U ✓
3,33
B
5,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,42
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.