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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Levante
U T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Villarreal
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 23%
31%
15%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
65%
54%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 15. · Villarreal 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 27 19 6 2 +43 63
2 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 +22 56
3 Real Madrid 26 15 3 8 +12 48
4 Getafe 27 12 9 6 +12 45
5 Alaves 27 11 8 8 -2 41
6 Valencia 27 8 15 4 +7 39
7 Betis 27 11 6 10 -1 39
8 Sevilla 26 10 7 9 +7 37
9 Sociedad 26 9 8 9 +3 35
10 Eibar 27 8 11 8 -1 35
11 Ath Bilbao 27 7 13 7 -5 34
12 Espanol 27 9 7 11 -8 34
13 Leganes 27 8 9 10 -5 33
14 Girona 27 7 10 10 -8 31
15 Levante 26 8 6 12 -9 30
16 Valladolid 26 6 8 12 -14 26
17 Celta 27 6 7 14 -9 25
18 Villarreal 26 4 11 11 -8 23
19 Vallecano 27 6 5 16 -19 23
20 Huesca 27 5 7 15 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Villarreal
23′
🟨 Mario Gaspar
Erick Cabaco 🟨
36′
39′
🟨 Gerard Moreno
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Karl Toko Ekambi
63′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ Gerard Moreno
69′
🟨 Ramiro Funes Mori
Borja Mayoral 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
70′
72′
🔁 Pablo Fornals
↦ S. Cáseres
José Campaña 🟨
76′
81′
🔁 Miguelón Llambrich
↦ Alfonso Pedraza
82′
🟨 Vicente Iborra
N. Vukčević 🔁
↦ E. Bardhi
83′
Ruben Rochina 🟨
85′
R. Dwamena 🔁
↦ Rubén Rochina
92′
93′
Rober 1–0
own goal
96′
S. Chukwueze 1–1
Santi Cazorla
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Levante

3-1-4-2
25 Aitor Fernández G
12 Coke D
22 Luna D
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
9 Roger Martí F
7 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
2 Borja Mayoral
17 N. Vukčević
20 R. Dwamena
13 Oier
23 Jason
6 Chema
19 Pedro López

Coach: Paco López

Villarreal

3-5-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
4 Ramiro Funes Mori D
19 Santi Cazorla M
10 Vicente Iborra M
16 Alfonso Pedraza M
5 S. Cáseres M
7 Gerard Moreno F
17 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
30 S. Chukwueze
8 Pablo Fornals
15 Miguelón Llambrich
9 C. Bacca
39 Xavi Quintillà
13 Andrés Fernández
28 Manu Morlanes

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.