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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Villarreal

S S T U T

1–3

Full-time

Celta

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

38%

15%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

77%

23%

Both score Ø 54%

69%

38%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 12. · Celta 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+19	28
2	Real Madrid	13	8	4	1	+18	28
3	Ath Madrid	14	6	7	1	+7	25
4	Sevilla	13	7	3	3	+3	24
5	Ath Bilbao	14	6	5	3	+6	23
6	Sociedad	14	7	2	5	+5	23
7	Getafe	14	5	6	3	+3	21
8	Granada	14	6	3	5	+2	21
9	Levante	14	6	2	6	+1	20
10	Valencia	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Osasuna	14	4	7	3	+2	19
12	Villarreal	13	5	3	5	+7	18
13	Alaves	14	5	3	6	-2	18
14	Valladolid	13	4	5	4	-3	17
15	Betis	14	4	4	6	-7	16
16	Eibar	14	4	3	7	-9	15
17	Mallorca	14	4	2	8	-8	14
18	Celta	13	2	3	8	-12	9
19	Espanol	14	2	3	9	-16	9
20	Leganes	14	1	3	10	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+12	17
3	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Alaves	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Levante	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Betis	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+3	14
9	Valencia	7	3	4	0	+5	13
10	Granada	7	4	1	2	+3	13
11	Villarreal	6	3	3	0	+9	12
12	Osasuna	7	3	3	1	+4	12
13	Getafe	7	3	3	1	+4	12
14	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+3	11
15	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+5	10
16	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
17	Eibar	7	3	0	4	-6	9
18	Celta	7	2	1	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	8	1	1	6	-7	4
20	Espanol	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+0	13
2	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+0	13
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+6	11
4	Barcelona	7	3	1	3	+1	10
5	Ath Madrid	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	Getafe	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Granada	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Espanol	7	2	2	3	-5	8
9	Valladolid	8	2	2	4	-8	8
10	Osasuna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Villarreal	7	2	0	5	-2	6
14	Eibar	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Levante	7	2	0	5	-4	6
16	Alaves	7	1	1	5	-9	4
17	Celta	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Leganes	6	0	2	4	-9	2
19	Betis	6	0	2	4	-10	2
20	Mallorca	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.