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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Alaves

S T S U U

2–2

Full-time

Valencia

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

22%

67%

Both score Ø 61%

44%

78%

Average goals

1,9

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

10 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 16. · Valencia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Ath Madrid	8	6	2	0	+16	20
3	Villarreal	10	5	4	1	+4	19
4	Real Madrid	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Cadiz	10	4	2	4	-3	14
6	Granada	9	4	2	3	-4	14
7	Sevilla	8	4	1	3	+3	13
8	Getafe	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Elche	8	3	3	2	-1	12
10	Betis	9	4	0	5	-5	12
11	Barcelona	8	3	2	3	+6	11
12	Valencia	9	3	2	4	+1	11
13	Osasuna	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Eibar	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Ath Bilbao	8	3	0	5	-2	9
16	Alaves	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Valladolid	10	2	3	5	-5	9
18	Levante	9	1	4	4	-5	7
19	Huesca	10	0	7	3	-8	7
20	Celta	10	1	4	5	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+12	13
3	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Granada	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Getafe	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Valencia	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+5	7
9	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Real Madrid	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Betis	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Valladolid	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Elche	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Alaves	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Levante	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Huesca	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Celta	4	1	0	3	-7	3
20	Cadiz	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Cadiz	5	4	0	1	+2	12
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Elche	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Betis	5	2	0	3	-5	6
8	Villarreal	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Barcelona	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Levante	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Celta	6	0	4	2	-4	4
16	Huesca	6	0	4	2	-6	4
17	Granada	4	1	1	2	-6	4
18	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
19	Getafe	4	0	3	1	-3	3
20	Ath Bilbao	5	1	0	4	-4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.