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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Barcelona

T S T S S

2–2

Full-time

Valencia

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 37%

50%

23%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

58%

62%

Both score Ø 60%

50%

69%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

72% Possession 28%

25 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 5. · Valencia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	9	2	1	+19	29
2	Sociedad	14	7	5	2	+16	26
3	Real Madrid	13	8	2	3	+9	26
4	Villarreal	13	5	7	1	+4	22
5	Barcelona	12	6	2	4	+11	20
6	Sevilla	11	6	1	4	+4	19
7	Granada	12	5	3	4	-5	18
8	Cadiz	13	5	3	5	-6	18
9	Ath Bilbao	14	5	2	7	+0	17
10	Celta	13	4	4	5	-3	16
11	Betis	13	5	1	7	-9	16
12	Eibar	13	3	6	4	-1	15
13	Valencia	13	3	5	5	+0	14
14	Alaves	13	3	5	5	-3	14
15	Elche	12	3	5	4	-4	14
16	Getafe	12	3	4	5	-5	13
17	Valladolid	13	3	4	6	-6	13
18	Levante	12	2	5	5	-3	11
19	Osasuna	12	3	2	7	-8	11
20	Huesca	14	1	8	5	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	Barcelona	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	Villarreal	7	4	3	0	+6	15
4	Sociedad	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	Real Madrid	6	4	0	2	+6	12
6	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Granada	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Getafe	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Valencia	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+2	9
11	Celta	6	3	0	3	-1	9
12	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Betis	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Alaves	7	1	4	2	-2	7
15	Osasuna	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Levante	5	1	3	1	+1	6
17	Huesca	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Elche	6	1	3	2	-3	6
19	Cadiz	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	Eibar	7	0	4	3	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+9	14
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Cadiz	7	4	1	2	-2	13
4	Eibar	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Betis	7	3	0	4	-7	9
8	Elche	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Alaves	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Celta	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Villarreal	6	1	4	1	-2	7
12	Granada	6	2	1	3	-7	7
13	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Levante	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Ath Bilbao	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Huesca	8	0	5	3	-8	5
17	Barcelona	5	1	1	3	+0	4
18	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Osasuna	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Getafe	5	0	3	2	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.