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La Liga
Referee: David Medié
Celta
U U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Valladolid
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
29%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
11 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 11. · Valladolid 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 23 17 4 2 +29 55
2 Barcelona 25 16 5 4 +33 53
3 Real Madrid 24 16 4 4 +23 52
4 Sevilla 24 15 3 6 +16 48
5 Sociedad 24 11 8 5 +21 41
6 Villarreal 24 8 13 3 +8 37
7 Betis 24 11 3 10 -6 36
8 Levante 25 7 11 7 +1 32
9 Ath Bilbao 24 8 6 10 +6 30
10 Granada 24 8 6 10 -12 30
11 Celta 24 7 8 9 -7 29
12 Osasuna 25 7 7 11 -10 28
13 Valencia 25 6 9 10 -5 27
14 Getafe 25 7 6 12 -10 27
15 Cadiz 24 6 7 11 -19 25
16 Eibar 25 4 10 11 -8 22
17 Alaves 25 5 7 13 -19 22
18 Valladolid 24 4 9 11 -13 21
19 Elche 23 4 9 10 -14 21
20 Huesca 25 3 11 11 -14 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Valladolid
4′
🟨 Shon Weissman
Renato Tapia 🟨
34′
40′
🟨 Sergi Guardiola
Half-time 0–0
Miguel Baeza 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
57′
J. Holsgrove 🔁
↦ A. Solari
57′
58′
🟨 Lucas Olaza
J. Aidoo 🔁
↦ N. Araújo
67′
70′
F. Orellana 0–1
F. Ferreyra 🔁
↦ Aarón Martín
76′
79′
🔁 J. El Yamiq
↦ S. Janko
79′
🔁 Luis Pérez
↦ S. Weissman
82′
🔁 K. Kodro
↦ Sergi Guardiola
86′
🔁 Nacho Martínez
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
86′
🔁 Fede
↦ F. Orellana
Facundo Ferreyra 🟨
90′
Joseph Aidoo 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jawad El Yamiq
90′
🟨 Joaquin Fernandez
1–1 J. Murillo
Iago Aspas
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
4 N. Araújo D
19 Aarón Martín D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
21 A. Solari M
23 Brais Méndez M
10 Iago Aspas F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (9)
27 Miguel Baeza
39 J. Holsgrove
18 J. Aidoo
12 F. Ferreyra
8 Fran Beltrán
36 Alfon González
20 Kevin Vázquez
1 Iván Villar
29 José Fontán

Coach: E. Coudet

Valladolid

4-4-2
13 Roberto Jiménez G
6 Bruno D
25 L. Olaza D
18 S. Janko D
12 F. Orellana M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
17 Roque Mesa M
24 Joaquín Fernández D
10 Óscar Plano M
7 Sergi Guardiola F
9 S. Weissman F
Bench (11)
15 J. El Yamiq
2 Luis Pérez
3 K. Kodro
22 Nacho Martínez
20 Fede
40 Jota
1 Jordi Masip
8 Kike Pérez
30 Miguel Rubio
21 Míchel
19 Toni Villa

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,75
B
4,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.