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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Valencia

T S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Granada

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 32%

26%

37%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

48%

52%

Both score Ø 58%

59%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 15

9 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 12. · Granada 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	27	19	6	2	+32	63
2	Real Madrid	28	18	6	4	+26	60
3	Barcelona	27	18	5	4	+38	59
4	Sevilla	28	17	4	7	+18	55
5	Sociedad	27	12	9	6	+21	45
6	Betis	28	14	3	11	-3	45
7	Villarreal	27	9	13	5	+7	40
8	Granada	27	10	6	11	-11	36
9	Ath Bilbao	28	9	8	11	+6	35
10	Levante	28	8	11	9	-1	35
11	Celta	28	8	10	10	-8	34
12	Valencia	27	7	9	11	-5	30
13	Osasuna	28	7	9	12	-12	30
14	Getafe	28	7	8	13	-11	29
15	Cadiz	27	7	8	12	-19	29
16	Valladolid	28	5	12	11	-12	27
17	Elche	28	5	10	13	-17	25
18	Eibar	28	4	11	13	-11	23
19	Alaves	27	5	8	14	-20	23
20	Huesca	28	3	12	13	-18	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	10	3	1	+20	33
2	Barcelona	14	9	4	1	+22	31
3	Sevilla	14	10	1	3	+13	31
4	Real Madrid	13	9	1	3	+14	28
5	Granada	14	8	3	3	+4	27
6	Betis	14	8	2	4	+4	26
7	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+10	24
8	Sociedad	13	6	5	2	+13	23
9	Levante	14	5	7	2	+4	22
10	Villarreal	13	5	6	2	+4	21
11	Celta	14	6	3	5	-2	21
12	Valencia	13	5	5	3	+5	20
13	Getafe	15	5	5	5	+3	20
14	Osasuna	14	4	4	6	-6	16
15	Elche	13	3	6	4	-5	15
16	Alaves	14	3	5	6	-6	14
17	Valladolid	14	3	5	6	-7	14
18	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
19	Huesca	14	2	6	6	-6	12
20	Eibar	14	1	6	7	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	9	5	1	+12	32
2	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+12	30
3	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+16	28
4	Sevilla	14	7	3	4	+5	24
5	Sociedad	14	6	4	4	+8	22
6	Villarreal	14	4	7	3	+3	19
7	Betis	14	6	1	7	-7	19
8	Cadiz	13	4	4	5	-9	16
9	Eibar	14	3	5	6	-2	14
10	Osasuna	14	3	5	6	-6	14
11	Levante	14	3	4	7	-5	13
12	Valladolid	14	2	7	5	-5	13
13	Celta	14	2	7	5	-6	13
14	Ath Bilbao	14	2	5	7	-4	11
15	Valencia	14	2	4	8	-10	10
16	Elche	15	2	4	9	-12	10
17	Huesca	14	1	6	7	-12	9
18	Alaves	13	2	3	8	-14	9
19	Getafe	13	2	3	8	-14	9
20	Granada	13	2	3	8	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.