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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Ortiz
Mallorca
S S T U T
2–3
Full-time
Osasuna
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 12. · Osasuna 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 7 5 2 0 +13 17
2 Sevilla 6 4 2 0 +8 14
3 Ath Madrid 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Sociedad 6 4 1 1 +3 13
5 Valencia 7 3 2 2 +4 11
6 Vallecano 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Ath Bilbao 7 2 4 1 +2 10
8 Barcelona 5 2 3 0 +3 9
9 Betis 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Villarreal 6 1 5 0 +3 8
11 Osasuna 6 2 2 2 -2 8
12 Mallorca 6 2 2 2 -5 8
13 Cadiz 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Espanol 7 1 3 3 -3 6
15 Elche 6 1 3 2 -3 6
16 Levante 6 0 4 2 -3 4
17 Celta 6 1 1 4 -4 4
18 Granada 6 0 3 3 -6 3
19 Alaves 6 1 0 5 -9 3
20 Getafe 6 0 0 6 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Osasuna
9′
Cote 0–1
Moncayola
1–1 Dani Rodríguez
Salva Sevilla
11′
15′
🟨 Aridane Hernandez
Fernando Niño 🟨
20′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Fer Niño
A. Ndiaye
49′
L. Junior 🔁
↦ Lee Kang-In
58′
58′
Iñigo Pérez 2–2
Abdón Prats 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
64′
70′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ Iñigo Pérez
70′
🔁 Unai García
↦ Aridane
71′
🔁 Kike
↦ E. Ávila
75′
🟨 Oier
81′
🔁 Manu Sánchez
↦ Cote
83′
🔁 Nacho Vidal
↦ Jesús Areso
Ruiz de Galarreta 🔁
↦ Salva Sevilla
88′
Ángel 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
88′
88′
Javi Martínez 2–3
Manu Sánchez
92′
🟨 Unai García
Dani Rodriguez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
95′
95′
ℹ️ Dani Rodriguez
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-2-3-1
13 D. Greif G
18 Jaume Costa D
3 Brian Oliván D
24 M. Valjent D
2 Joan Sastre D
8 Salva Sevilla M
14 Dani Rodríguez M
12 I. Baba M
19 Lee Kang-In M
23 A. Ndiaye M
26 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
11 L. Junior
9 Abdón Prats
4 Ruiz de Galarreta
22 Ángel
7 Jordi Mboula
10 Antonio Sánchez
16 R. Battaglia
1 Manolo Reina
5 F. Russo
6 Febas
25 M. Hoppe
29 Josep Gayá

Coach: Luis García

Osasuna

4-1-4-1
1 Sergio Herrera G
23 Aridane D
6 Oier M
16 Cote D
5 David García D
32 Jesús Areso D
21 Iñigo Pérez M
8 D. Brašanac M
28 Javi Martínez M
7 Moncayola M
9 E. Ávila F
Bench (12)
14 Rubén García
4 Unai García
18 Kike
39 Manu Sánchez
2 Nacho Vidal
24 Lucas Torró
15 Jonás Ramalho
20 Barbero
22 Robert Ibáñez
12 Jaume Grau
13 Juan Pérez
10 Roberto Torres

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,12
B ✓
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,44
U2,5
1,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Ortiz · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.