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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

AZ Alkmaar

S T T T T

5–0

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

17 Shots 6

13 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 18. · Go Ahead Eagles 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+29	19
2	Willem II	7	5	1	1	+3	16
3	Feyenoord	6	5	0	1	+12	15
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	0	2	+7	15
5	Utrecht	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	-3	12
7	Twente	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+1	10
9	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	-8	10
10	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-7	8
11	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	0	4	-4	6
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-8	6
13	Waalwijk	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-7	5
16	Heracles	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Zwolle	7	0	1	6	-11	1
18	AZ Alkmaar	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+22	12
2	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Cambuur	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Willem II	4	3	0	1	-1	9
6	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Groningen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
9	Twente	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
11	Cambuur	3	1	0	2	-8	3
12	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.