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Serie A

Referee: A Giua

Sassuolo

S U T T T

1–0

Full-time

Salernitana

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,4

3,6

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,4

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 8

0 Offside 6

16 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 16. · Salernitana 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Napoli	5	5	0	0	+12	15
3	Inter	6	4	2	0	+13	14
4	Roma	5	4	0	1	+7	12
5	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	-1	9
7	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+5	8
8	Juventus	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Bologna	5	2	2	1	-3	8
10	Torino	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Udinese	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Empoli	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Verona	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Sassuolo	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Spezia	6	1	1	4	-7	4
18	Venezia	5	1	0	4	-7	3
19	Cagliari	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Salernitana	5	0	1	4	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Roma	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
4	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+5	4
7	Torino	3	1	1	1	+3	4
8	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Udinese	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Verona	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Spezia	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Empoli	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Milan	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Genoa	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-4	4
12	Roma	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Venezia	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.