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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Troyes
U T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Angers
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
43%
29%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
6 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 17. · Angers 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +15 24
2 Nice 7 4 2 1 +12 14
3 Marseille 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Lorient 8 3 4 1 +1 13
5 Angers 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Lens 7 3 3 1 +3 12
7 Lyon 8 3 3 2 +1 12
8 Lille 8 3 2 3 -3 11
9 Nantes 7 3 1 3 +3 10
10 Strasbourg 8 3 1 4 -1 10
11 Rennes 8 2 3 3 +1 9
12 Montpellier 8 2 3 3 +0 9
13 Clermont 7 2 3 2 -6 9
14 Monaco 7 2 2 3 -2 8
15 Reims 7 1 4 2 -1 7
16 Bordeaux 8 1 4 3 -6 7
17 Troyes 7 1 2 4 -4 5
18 Brest 7 0 4 3 -6 4
19 Metz 7 0 3 4 -8 3
20 St Etienne 8 0 3 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Angers
1′
🟨 Mohamed-Ali Cho
Xavier Chavalerin 🟨
9′
Gerson Rodrigues 🟨
20′
1–0 Mama Baldé
G. Biancone
22′
Half-time 1–0
R. Ripart 🔁
↦ Mama Baldé
46′
Jimmy Giraudon 🟨
63′
63′
ℹ️ Azzedine Ounahi
VAR: Penalty awarded
65′
T. Mangani 1–1
66′
🔁 S. Boufal
↦ A. Fulgini
66′
🔁 S. Bahoken
↦ T. Mangani
O. El Hajjam 🔁
↦ Y. Koné
72′
B. Dominguès 🔁
↦ Y. Touzghar
72′
80′
🟨 Sofiane Boufal
L. Lumeka 🔁
↦ G. Rodrigues
80′
83′
🔁 E. Ebosse
↦ P. Capelle
83′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ M. Cho
Oualid El Hajjam ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
89′
Oualid El Hajjam ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
92′
Jimmy Giraudon 🟨
93′
Jimmy Giraudon 🟥
93′
N. Chadli 🔁
↦ Y. Salmier
96′
96′
🔁 Mathias Lage
↦ A. Ounahi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Troyes

3-4-2-1
30 G. Gallon G
8 J. Giraudon D
3 Y. Koné M
17 Y. Salmier D
4 G. Biancone D
29 I. Kaboré M
24 X. Chavalerin M
6 R. Kouamé M
7 Y. Touzghar F
11 G. Rodrigues F
25 Mama Baldé F
Bench (9)
20 R. Ripart
19 O. El Hajjam
27 B. Dominguès
12 L. Lumeka
28 N. Chadli
35 T. Banhie-Zoukrou
40 J. Moulin
14 D. Chambost
33 D. Mazou-Sacko

Coach: L. Batlles

Angers

3-4-1-2
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
2 B. Mendy M
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
11 J. Cabot M
10 A. Fulgini F
18 A. Ounahi F
21 M. Cho F
Bench (9)
7 S. Boufal
19 S. Bahoken
6 E. Ebosse
14 B. Brahimi
27 Mathias Lage
28 F. El Melali
26 W. Taibi
30 D. Petković
3 S. Doumbia

Coach: G. Baticle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,75
U ✓
3,19
B
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.