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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hibernian
S U S U U
1–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,2
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,2
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 4. · ST Johnstone 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 7 5 1 1 +7 16
2 Hearts 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Motherwell 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Hibernian 6 3 3 0 +6 12
5 Dundee United 6 3 1 2 -1 10
6 Celtic 6 3 0 3 +12 9
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 -1 8
8 St Mirren 7 1 4 2 -6 7
9 ST Johnstone 6 1 3 2 -1 6
10 Livingston 7 1 1 5 -9 4
11 Ross County 7 0 3 4 -9 3
12 Dundee 7 0 3 4 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Ryan Porteous 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
J. Doyle-Hayes 🔁
↦ K. Magennis
46′
54′
🟨 Hayden Muller
60′
🟨 Liam Craig
60′
🟨 Jamie McCart
1–0 M. Boyle
61′
L. Stevenson 🔁
↦ J. Doig
62′
68′
🔁 G. Middleton
↦ H. Muller
Joe Newell 🟨
73′
75′
🟨 Jamie McCart
75′
🟥 Jamie McCart
80′
🔁 S. May
↦ C. Kane
80′
🔁 C. Gilmour
↦ L. Craig
J. Gullan 🔁
↦ S. Allan
85′
Kevin Nisbet 🟨
87′
Jake Doyle Hayes 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 M. Macey G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
5 R. Porteous D
3 J. Doig D
10 M. Boyle M
23 S. Allan M
11 J. Newell M
7 K. Magennis M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (7)
22 J. Doyle-Hayes
16 L. Stevenson
19 J. Gullan
12 N. Wood-Gordon
25 J. Scott
13 A. Gogić
21 M. Dąbrowski

Coach: J. Ross

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Clark G
25 E. Ambrose
24 C. Booth M
19 S. Rooney M
4 J. Mccart D
16 H. Muller D
26 L. Craig M
10 D. Wotherspoon M
21 A. Crawford F
11 M. O'Halloran F
9 C. Kane F
Bench (7)
14 G. Middleton
7 S. May
15 C. Gilmour
17 E. Vertainen
5 L. Dendoncker
3 R. Devine
12 E. Parish

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,42
B
4,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.