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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Heerenveen
U U S U S
3–3
Full-time
Cambuur
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 28/30 matches
Win Ø 33%
32%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
39%
73%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
22 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 3
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 11. · Cambuur 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 25 3 3 +74 78
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 23 2 5 +40 71
3 Feyenoord 30 20 4 6 +40 64
4 Twente 31 18 8 5 +15 62
5 AZ Alkmaar 27 15 4 8 +17 49
6 Utrecht 29 12 8 9 +9 44
7 Vitesse 26 12 3 11 -9 39
8 Groningen 30 9 9 12 -7 36
9 Go Ahead Eagles 30 10 6 14 -9 36
10 Nijmegen 31 9 8 14 -13 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 34
12 Heracles 31 9 7 15 -10 34
13 Cambuur 30 10 3 17 -18 33
14 For Sittard 30 8 5 17 -30 29
15 Waalwijk 30 6 10 14 -17 28
16 Zwolle 31 7 5 19 -23 26
17 Sparta Rotterdam 31 5 11 15 -23 26
18 Willem II 30 7 5 18 -28 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Cambuur
1–0 A. Tahiri
T. Haye
2′
12′
R. Uldriķis 1–1
P. Joosten
2–1 S. van Hooijdonk
T. Haye
34′
Sven van Beek 🟨
38′
J. van Aken 🔁
↦ N. Bakker
43′
Half-time 2–1
55′
🔁 M. Paulissen
↦ J. Jacobs
55′
🔁 M. Tol
↦ C. Mac-Intosch
64′
ℹ️ Issa Kallon
VAR: Penalty awarded
65′
R. Maulun 2–2
A. Musaba 🔁
↦ S. van Hooijdonk
70′
Lucas Woudenberg 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Mitchell Paulissen
79′
🔁 M. Breij
↦ P. Joosten
S. de Jong 🔁
↦ T. Halilović
88′
94′
M. Paulissen 2–3
R. Maulun
3–3 J. van Aken
M. van Ewijk
96′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Heerenveen

3-5-2
1 E. Mulder G
15 N. Bakker D
5 L. Woudenberg M
4 S. van Beek D
14 I. Drešević D
27 M. van Ewijk M
33 T. Haye M
26 A. Tahiri M
10 T. Halilović M
20 S. van Hooijdonk F
9 A. Sarr F
Bench (12)
3 J. van Aken
11 A. Musaba
6 S. de Jong
7 F. Stevanović
29 N. Madsen
16 A. van der Heide
22 X. Mous
17 R. Al Hajj
34 T. Zaal
13 R. Kaib
18 H. Akujobi
23 J. Bekkema

Coach: O. Tobiasen

Cambuur

4-3-3
1 S. Stevens G
3 C. Mac-Intosch D
4 E. Schouten D
5 D. Schmidt D
18 D. Sambissa D
20 R. Maulun M
8 J. Jacobs M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
7 I. Kallon F
28 R. Uldriķis F
11 P. Joosten F
Bench (12)
10 M. Paulissen
15 M. Tol
14 M. Breij
31 B. Minnema
2 J. ter Heide
17 N. Doodeman
21 T. Kiss
34 T. Rier
12 P. Bos
33 J. van der Meer
49 M. Smit
36 R. van Mameren

Coach: D. Haar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,79
U ✓
3,94
B
4,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.