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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Martins
Moreirense
T T S S T
1–2
Full-time
Boavista
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
19%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
45%
Both score Ø 57%
48%
65%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Moreirense 16. · Boavista 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 32 27 4 1 +61 85
2 Sp Lisbon 31 24 4 3 +42 76
3 Benfica 32 22 5 5 +47 71
4 Sp Braga 32 18 8 6 +21 62
5 Gil Vicente 31 12 12 7 +10 48
6 Guimaraes 32 12 8 12 +4 44
7 Maritimo 32 9 10 13 -4 37
8 Pacos Ferreira 31 9 10 12 -11 37
9 Santa Clara 32 8 13 11 -14 37
10 Estoril 32 8 12 12 -6 36
11 Portimonense 32 9 8 15 -14 35
12 Famalicao 32 7 12 13 -8 33
13 Boavista 31 6 15 10 -14 33
14 Vizela 32 7 11 14 -18 32
15 Arouca 32 7 9 16 -23 30
16 Moreirense 31 6 8 17 -19 26
17 Tondela 31 7 5 19 -23 26
18 Belenenses 32 5 10 17 -31 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moreirense Boavista
Paulinho Mota 🟥
-5′
-5′
🟥 Sebastián Pérez
20′
K. Gorré 0–1
I. Vukotić
23′
🟨 Petar Musa
Gonçalo Franco 🔁
↦ K. Mirallas
39′
41′
🟨 Ilija Vukotić
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Pedro Malheiro
Rodrigo Conceição 🔁
↦ Matheus Silva
66′
André Luís 🔁
↦ Pedro Amador
66′
André Luis 🟨
67′
72′
🔁 Y. Hamache
↦ I. Vukotić
Jefferson Júnior 🟨
76′
Rúben Ramos 🔁
↦ Paulinho
78′
Galego 🔁
↦ Jefferson
78′
81′
🔁 Javi García
↦ K. Gorré
81′
🔁 Nathan
↦ S. Pérez
Sori Mané 🟨
83′
1–1 Rafael Martins
88′
89′
P. Musa 1–2
R. Abascal
91′
🟨 Petar Musa
91′
🟥 Petar Musa
Gonçalo Franco 🟨
94′
97′
🟨 Rafael Bracali
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Moreirense

4-1-4-1
14 Mateus Pasinato G
77 Paulinho M
3 L. Rosić D
28 Pablo D
23 G. Frimpong D
13 Matheus Silva D
18 Pedro Amador M
87 K. Mirallas M
35 Jefferson M
16 Sori Mané M
99 Rafael Martins F
Bench (9)
88 Gonçalo Franco
2 Rodrigo Conceição
9 André Luís
66 Rúben Ramos
37 Galego
1 Kewin
8 I. Camará
19 S. Vitória
6 Fábio Pacheco

Coach: Sá Pinto

Boavista

3-5-2
1 Rafael Bracali G
20 Filipe Ferreira M
26 R. Abascal D
21 J. Porozo D
2 R. Cannon D
24 S. Pérez M
42 G. Makouta M
18 I. Vukotić M
7 K. Gorré F
9 P. Musa F
79 Pedro Malheiro M
Bench (9)
25 Y. Hamache
6 Javi García
22 Nathan
27 J. De Santis
77 Luís Santos
90 A. Beiranvand
36 P. Ntep
11 Y. Njie
14 Tomás Reymão

Coach: Petit

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U
3,19
B ✓
3,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.