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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
1–2
Full-time
Vitesse
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 30/26 matches
Win Ø 40%
33%
46%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
43%
58%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 9. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 25 3 3 +74 78
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 23 2 5 +40 71
3 Feyenoord 30 20 4 6 +40 64
4 Twente 31 18 8 5 +15 62
5 AZ Alkmaar 27 15 4 8 +17 49
6 Utrecht 29 12 8 9 +9 44
7 Vitesse 26 12 3 11 -9 39
8 Groningen 30 9 9 12 -7 36
9 Go Ahead Eagles 30 10 6 14 -9 36
10 Heerenveen 29 9 8 12 -8 35
11 Nijmegen 31 9 8 14 -13 35
12 Heracles 31 9 7 15 -10 34
13 Cambuur 31 10 4 17 -18 34
14 For Sittard 30 8 5 17 -30 29
15 Waalwijk 30 6 10 14 -17 28
16 Zwolle 31 7 5 19 -23 26
17 Sparta Rotterdam 31 5 11 15 -23 26
18 Willem II 30 7 5 18 -28 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Vitesse
3′
🟨 Tomáš Hájek
13′
L. Openda 0–1
T. Domgjoni
1–1 I. Lidberg
B. Kuipers
35′
Half-time 1–1
J. Bakker 🔁
↦ J. Kramer
48′
60′
🔁 R. Yapi
↦ A. Grbić
62′
🟨 Riechedly Bazoer
69′
L. Openda 1–2
R. Bazoer
73′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ M. Manhoef
O. Heil 🔁
↦ L. Brouwers
74′
J. Mulenga 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
74′
M. Berden 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
85′
92′
🔁 D. Huisman
↦ L. Openda
94′
🟨 Thomas Buitink
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-4-2
23 A. Noppert G
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers D
4 J. Kramer D
20 M. Deijl M
2 B. Lucassen D
21 Iñigo Córdoba F
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
9 I. Lidberg F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (11)
26 J. Bakker
19 O. Heil
27 J. Mulenga
7 M. Berden
28 A. Aventisian
14 T. Tuzlacik
33 N. Hengelman
29 Cardona
22 Q. Dumay
31 J. Schuurman
37 E. Linthorst

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Vitesse

3-5-2
1 M. Schubert G
18 T. Hájek D
2 E. Dasa M
3 D. Doekhi D
42 M. Manhoef M
39 E. Cornelisse D
10 R. Bazoer M
36 P. Vroegh M
22 T. Domgjoni M
9 A. Grbić F
7 L. Openda F
Bench (8)
27 R. Yapi
29 T. Buitink
40 D. Huisman
23 E. Verstappen
54 G. de Regt
33 D. Reiziger
50 M. Jonathans
44 E. Hernández

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U
3,42
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.