Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cracovia
Wisla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +40 | 65 |
| 2 |
Rakow
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +28 | 65 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | +32 | 62 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +15 | 53 |
| 5 |
Piast Gliwice
|
31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 50 |
| 6 |
Wisla Plock
|
31 | 14 | 3 | 14 | +0 | 45 |
| 7 |
Radomiak Radom
|
31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | +5 | 44 |
| 8 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 41 |
| 9 |
Cracovia
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 |
Warta Poznan
|
31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 11 |
Legia
|
31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 |
Stal Mielec
|
31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 |
Jagiellonia
|
31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | -12 | 35 |
| 14 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -9 | 33 |
| 15 |
Zaglebie
|
31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 |
Nieciecza
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 |
Wisla
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 29 |
| 18 | Leczna | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 27 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Radomiak Radom
Cracovia
Cracovia
Zaglebie
Warta Poznan
Cracovia
Stal Mielec
Cracovia
Cracovia
Piast Gliwice
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.