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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
T T T S S
4–2
Full-time
Cartagena
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 42%
41%
43%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
57%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 3
9 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 8. · Cartagena 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 38 21 11 6 +16 74
2 Almeria 38 22 7 9 +28 73
3 Valladolid 37 20 9 8 +21 69
4 Girona 38 19 7 12 +15 64
5 Tenerife 37 18 9 10 +18 63
6 Oviedo 38 16 15 7 +16 63
7 Las Palmas 38 15 13 10 +5 58
8 Ponferradina 37 15 12 10 +4 57
9 Cartagena 37 16 4 17 +2 52
10 Ibiza 38 12 15 11 +0 51
11 Huesca 37 12 14 11 +9 50
12 Burgos 38 14 8 16 +1 50
13 Zaragoza 38 10 19 9 -6 49
14 Lugo 37 9 19 9 -2 46
15 Leganes 37 11 13 13 -4 46
16 Mirandes 38 13 7 18 -9 46
17 Sp Gijon 38 10 11 17 -5 41
18 Malaga 38 10 11 17 -21 41
19 Amorebieta 38 7 16 15 -13 37
20 Sociedad B 37 8 10 19 -16 34
21 Fuenlabrada 38 5 14 19 -23 29
22 Alcorcon 38 4 10 24 -36 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,38
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.