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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Waalwijk

U S U T T

3–1

Full-time

Groningen

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 25%

20%

30%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 15. · Groningen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	31	25	3	3	+74	78
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	24	2	5	+42	74
3	Feyenoord	31	21	4	6	+42	67
4	Twente	31	18	8	5	+15	62
5	AZ Alkmaar	27	15	4	8	+17	49
6	Utrecht	29	12	8	9	+9	44
7	Vitesse	27	13	3	11	-8	42
8	Groningen	30	9	9	12	-7	36
9	Go Ahead Eagles	31	10	6	15	-10	36
10	Heerenveen	29	9	8	12	-8	35
11	Nijmegen	31	9	8	14	-13	35
12	Heracles	31	9	7	15	-10	34
13	Cambuur	31	10	4	17	-18	34
14	For Sittard	31	8	5	18	-32	29
15	Waalwijk	30	6	10	14	-17	28
16	Zwolle	31	7	5	19	-23	26
17	Sparta Rotterdam	31	5	11	15	-23	26
18	Willem II	31	7	5	19	-30	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	1	2	+49	40
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	0	3	+26	39
3	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+23	35
4	Twente	15	9	5	1	+13	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
6	Utrecht	15	8	4	3	+12	28
7	Heracles	16	7	5	4	+3	26
8	Go Ahead Eagles	16	7	1	8	+2	22
9	For Sittard	16	6	2	8	-10	20
10	Groningen	15	4	6	5	-1	18
11	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-3	18
12	Willem II	15	5	3	7	-7	18
13	Cambuur	15	5	1	9	-6	16
14	Sparta Rotterdam	16	3	7	6	-7	16
15	Vitesse	13	5	1	7	-9	16
16	Waalwijk	15	4	3	8	-12	15
17	Zwolle	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Nijmegen	15	2	5	8	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+25	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	2	2	+16	35
3	Feyenoord	16	10	2	4	+19	32
4	Twente	16	9	3	4	+2	30
5	Vitesse	14	8	2	4	+1	26
6	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	-4	24
7	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	2	6	+2	20
8	Groningen	15	5	3	7	-6	18
9	Cambuur	16	5	3	8	-12	18
10	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-5	17
11	Utrecht	14	4	4	6	-3	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	5	7	-12	14
13	Waalwijk	15	2	7	6	-5	13
14	Zwolle	16	4	1	11	-17	13
15	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	4	9	-16	10
16	For Sittard	15	2	3	10	-22	9
17	Heracles	15	2	2	11	-13	8
18	Willem II	16	2	2	12	-23	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.