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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Betis
S U U S U
1–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 5. · Ath Madrid 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 11 10 1 0 +19 31
2 Barcelona 10 8 1 1 +20 25
3 Sociedad 11 7 1 3 +3 22
4 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 +8 20
5 Betis 10 6 2 2 +7 20
6 Ath Bilbao 10 5 3 2 +11 18
7 Osasuna 10 5 1 4 +0 16
8 Villarreal 10 4 3 3 +6 15
9 Valencia 11 4 3 4 +5 15
10 Vallecano 11 4 3 4 +2 15
11 Valladolid 11 4 2 5 -4 14
12 Mallorca 11 3 3 5 -3 12
13 Espanol 11 2 4 5 -5 10
14 Almeria 10 3 1 6 -6 10
15 Sevilla 11 2 4 5 -7 10
16 Celta 10 3 1 6 -9 10
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 -8 9
18 Girona 10 2 2 6 -4 8
19 Cadiz 11 1 4 6 -17 7
20 Elche 11 0 4 7 -18 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Ath Madrid
Víctor Ruíz 🔁
↦ Luiz Felipe
20′
38′
🟨 Nahuel Molina
Half-time 0–0
Luiz Henrique ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
54′
A. Griezmann 0–1
Guido Rodríguez 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Álvaro Morata
59′
🔁 Matheus Cunha
↦ Álvaro Morata
Juan Cruz 🔁
↦ Luiz Henrique
65′
Joaquín 🔁
↦ Rodri
65′
69′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondogbia
71′
A. Griezmann 0–2
Matheus Cunha
N. Fekir 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
75′
Aitor Ruibal 🔁
↦ Y. Sabaly
76′
76′
🔁 João Félix
↦ Á. Correa
76′
🔁 Y. Carrasco
↦ A. Griezmann
1–2 N. Fekir
84′
86′
🔁 R. De Paul
↦ Saúl
Rui Silva 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
23 Y. Sabaly D
16 G. Pezzella D
19 Luiz Felipe D
15 Álex Moreno D
5 G. Rodríguez M
18 A. Guardado M
11 Luiz Henrique M
14 William Carvalho M
28 Rodri M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (12)
6 Víctor Ruíz
29 Juan Cruz
17 Joaquín
8 N. Fekir
24 Aitor Ruibal
2 Martín Montoya
3 Edgar González
1 C. Bravo
33 Juan Miranda
12 Willian José
4 P. Akouokou
21 Loren Morón

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
15 S. Savić D
2 J. Giménez D
23 Reinildo D
10 Á. Correa M
4 G. Kondogbia M
20 A. Witsel M
17 Saúl M
8 A. Griezmann F
19 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (10)
9 Matheus Cunha
7 João Félix
21 Y. Carrasco
5 R. De Paul
22 Hermoso
18 Felipe
34 Pablo Barrios
1 I. Grbić
30 Sergio Díez
33 Alejandro Iturbe

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,16
U
3,32
B ✓
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.