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La Liga

Referee: Carlos del Cerro

Almeria

T S T S T

3–1

Full-time

Celta

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

27%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

64%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

55%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,7

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Almeria 15. · Celta 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	10	1	0	+19	31
2	Barcelona	11	9	1	1	+24	28
3	Ath Madrid	11	7	2	2	+9	23
4	Sociedad	11	7	1	3	+3	22
5	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
6	Ath Bilbao	11	5	3	3	+7	18
7	Villarreal	11	5	3	3	+7	18
8	Osasuna	11	5	2	4	+0	17
9	Valencia	11	4	3	4	+5	15
10	Vallecano	11	4	3	4	+2	15
11	Valladolid	11	4	2	5	-4	14
12	Mallorca	12	3	4	5	-3	13
13	Espanol	12	2	5	5	-5	11
14	Celta	11	3	2	6	-9	11
15	Almeria	11	3	1	7	-7	10
16	Sevilla	11	2	4	5	-7	10
17	Getafe	11	2	4	5	-8	10
18	Girona	11	2	3	6	-4	9
19	Cadiz	11	1	4	6	-17	7
20	Elche	11	0	4	7	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	Betis	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Osasuna	6	4	0	2	+2	12
5	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Valencia	6	3	1	2	+6	10
7	Vallecano	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+4	10
9	Valladolid	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+0	10
11	Almeria	5	3	0	2	+2	9
12	Girona	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Celta	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Ath Madrid	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Espanol	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Getafe	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Sevilla	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	-9	3
20	Elche	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Ath Madrid	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Sociedad	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Ath Bilbao	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+0	8
7	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Espanol	6	1	3	2	-1	6
10	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Betis	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Vallecano	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Cadiz	5	1	1	3	-8	4
17	Celta	5	1	0	4	-9	3
18	Elche	6	0	2	4	-11	2
19	Girona	5	0	1	4	-4	1
20	Almeria	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.