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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Ath Madrid

S S T U S

3–0

Full-time

Valladolid

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 38%

47%

29%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

35%

41%

Both score Ø 41%

53%

29%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,40 xG 0,52

47% Possession 53%

18 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Valladolid 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	13	2	1	+29	–	41
2	Real Madrid	16	12	2	2	+20	–	38
3	Sociedad	18	12	2	4	+10	+0.8	38
4	Ath Madrid	17	8	4	5	+8	–	28
5	Villarreal	17	8	4	5	+7	–	28
6	Betis	17	8	4	5	+5	-1.4	28
7	Osasuna	17	8	3	6	+1	–	27
8	Ath Bilbao	17	7	5	5	+8	–	26
9	Vallecano	18	7	5	6	+2	-0.8	26
10	Mallorca	18	7	4	7	-1	+0.0	25
11	Girona	17	5	6	6	-1	–	21
12	Espanol	18	4	8	6	-4	+1.4	20
13	Valencia	16	5	4	7	+5	–	19
14	Almeria	17	5	3	9	-8	–	18
15	Getafe	17	4	5	8	-8	–	17
16	Celta	18	4	5	9	-12	-0.0	17
17	Valladolid	17	5	2	10	-12	–	17
18	Cadiz	17	3	7	7	-16	–	16
19	Sevilla	17	3	6	8	-9	–	15
20	Elche	17	0	5	12	-24	–	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+17	–	20
2	Osasuna	9	6	0	3	+4	–	18
3	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	–	17
4	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	–	17
5	Betis	8	5	2	1	+7	–	17
6	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+2	–	17
7	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+7	–	16
8	Almeria	9	5	1	3	+3	–	16
9	Girona	9	4	3	2	+2	–	15
10	Vallecano	9	4	2	3	+2	-0.8	14
11	Mallorca	9	4	2	3	+1	+0.0	14
12	Valencia	9	4	1	4	+7	–	13
13	Valladolid	9	4	1	4	-1	–	13
14	Ath Madrid	8	3	2	3	+2	–	11
15	Celta	9	2	4	3	-1	–	10
16	Getafe	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
17	Espanol	9	2	3	4	-4	+1.4	9
18	Cadiz	9	1	5	3	-8	–	8
19	Sevilla	8	1	3	4	-6	–	6
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-10	–	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	0	1	+12	–	21
2	Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	+11	–	21
3	Sociedad	9	7	0	2	+8	+0.8	21
4	Ath Madrid	9	5	2	2	+6	–	17
5	Vallecano	9	3	3	3	+0	–	12
6	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	+0	–	12
7	Espanol	9	2	5	2	+0	–	11
8	Mallorca	9	3	2	4	-2	–	11
9	Betis	9	3	2	4	-2	-1.4	11
10	Ath Bilbao	8	2	3	3	+0	–	9
11	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
12	Osasuna	8	2	3	3	-3	–	9
13	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-5	–	8
14	Cadiz	8	2	2	4	-8	–	8
15	Celta	9	2	1	6	-11	-0.0	7
16	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-2	–	6
17	Girona	8	1	3	4	-3	–	6
18	Valladolid	8	1	1	6	-11	–	4
19	Elche	9	0	3	6	-14	–	3
20	Almeria	8	0	2	6	-11	–	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.