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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Milla
Ponferradina
U S T S U
0–1
Full-time
Eibar
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
26%
52%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
43%
Both score Ø 53%
57%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 6
14 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 19. · Eibar 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 24 12 9 3 +14 45
2 Eibar 23 12 7 4 +9 43
3 Levante 23 10 10 3 +11 40
4 Burgos 23 10 8 5 +8 38
5 Alaves 23 10 7 6 +2 37
6 Albacete 23 9 9 5 +3 36
7 Granada 23 10 5 8 +8 35
8 Leganes 23 9 6 8 +2 33
9 Cartagena 23 9 6 8 +1 33
10 Andorra 23 9 5 9 +6 32
11 Mirandes 24 7 9 8 -1 30
12 Huesca 23 7 9 7 -1 30
13 Oviedo 23 8 6 9 -3 30
14 Zaragoza 23 7 8 8 +0 29
15 Sp Gijon 23 6 10 7 -2 28
16 Villarreal B 23 7 7 9 -4 28
17 Tenerife 23 6 9 8 -2 27
18 Santander 23 6 7 10 -2 25
19 Ponferradina 23 6 7 10 -8 25
20 Lugo 23 5 6 12 -11 21
21 Malaga 23 4 8 11 -10 20
22 Ibiza 23 4 4 15 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ponferradina Eibar
Derik Lacerda 🟨
9′
15′
🟨 Sergio Álvarez
24′
🟨 Juan Berrocal
33′
🔁 Peru Nolaskoain
↦ Sergio Álvarez
42′
🟨 Stoichkov
Half-time 0–0
José Amo 🟨
51′
55′
Stoichkov 0–1
Paris Barandiaran 🟨
64′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Yuri
66′
Agus Medina 🔁
↦ K. Nwakali
66′
José Naranjo 🔁
↦ Derik Lacerda
66′
75′
🔁 Jon Bautista
↦ Stoichkov
75′
🔁 Quique González
↦ Y. Rahmani
Eduardo Espiau 🟨
80′
Heriberto Tavares 🔁
↦ A. Pașcanu
86′
Erik Morán 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
86′
87′
🔁 Álvaro Vadillo
↦ José Corpas
Amir Abedzadeh 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ponferradina

4-4-2
1 A. Abedzadeh G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
5 José Amo D
16 Moi Delgado D
7 Dani Ojeda M
11 K. Nwakali M
3 Adrián Diéguez M
30 Hugo Vallejo M
23 Derik Lacerda F
10 Yuri F
Bench (9)
19 Edu Espiau
8 Agus Medina
20 José Naranjo
17 Heriberto Tavares
18 Erik Morán
21 Ale Díez
15 Adrián Castellano
13 Miguel San Román
31 N. Fedotov

Coach: David Gallego

Eibar

4-2-3-1
25 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
30 Imanol García de Albéniz D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
14 Javi Muñoz M
11 Y. Rahmani M
19 Stoichkov F
Bench (11)
22 Peru Nolaskoain
18 Jon Bautista
7 Quique González
21 Álvaro Vadillo
31 Ángel Troncho
1 Ander Cantero
2 Chema Rodríguez
16 Ríos Reina
20 Arana
3 Frederico Venâncio
13 Yoel

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,61
U
3,12
B ✓
2,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.