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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Godinho

Guimaraes

S T U T T

0–1

Full-time

Porto

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,0

3,3

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 57%

44%

69%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 41%

31%

50%

Average goals

2,1

3,2

Scored

0,9

2,5

Conceded

1,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 14

0 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 17

6 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guimaraes 7. · Porto 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	17	14	2	1	+31	44
2	Sp Braga	17	13	1	3	+26	40
3	Porto	16	11	3	2	+29	36
4	Sp Lisbon	17	10	2	5	+14	32
5	Casa Pia	16	8	3	5	+2	27
6	Arouca	17	7	5	5	-3	26
7	Guimaraes	16	7	3	6	-3	24
8	Vizela	17	6	3	8	+2	21
9	Chaves	16	5	6	5	-5	21
10	Rio Ave	16	5	5	6	-3	20
11	Portimonense	17	6	2	9	-8	20
12	Boavista	15	6	2	7	-9	20
13	Estoril	15	5	4	6	-4	19
14	Famalicao	16	5	2	9	-7	17
15	Gil Vicente	16	4	3	9	-9	15
16	Santa Clara	17	3	5	9	-10	14
17	Maritimo	16	2	4	10	-21	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	17	1	3	13	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Porto	8	7	0	1	+23	21
3	Sp Lisbon	8	7	0	1	+16	21
4	Guimaraes	8	5	2	1	+4	17
5	Sp Braga	8	5	1	2	+10	16
6	Arouca	9	5	1	3	+3	16
7	Boavista	8	4	2	2	-2	14
8	Rio Ave	8	4	1	3	+2	13
9	Famalicao	7	4	0	3	+2	12
10	Casa Pia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Gil Vicente	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Vizela	8	3	1	4	+3	10
14	Santa Clara	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Chaves	8	1	5	2	-1	8
16	Estoril	7	2	2	3	-4	8
17	Maritimo	7	1	2	4	-3	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	9	0	2	7	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	9	8	0	1	+16	24
2	Benfica	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Casa Pia	8	5	1	2	+1	16
4	Porto	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Chaves	8	4	1	3	-4	13
6	Estoril	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Vizela	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Sp Lisbon	9	3	2	4	-2	11
9	Arouca	8	2	4	2	-6	10
10	Portimonense	8	3	0	5	-6	9
11	Rio Ave	8	1	4	3	-5	7
12	Guimaraes	8	2	1	5	-7	7
13	Boavista	7	2	0	5	-7	6
14	Santa Clara	8	1	2	5	-4	5
15	Famalicao	9	1	2	6	-9	5
16	Maritimo	9	1	2	6	-18	5
17	Gil Vicente	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.