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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Vallecano
U U T T S
0–2
Full-time
Sociedad
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,2
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 53%
41%
65%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
41%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,87 xG 1,66
54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 9. · Sociedad 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 13 2 1 +29 41
2 Real Madrid 16 12 2 2 +20 38
3 Sociedad 17 11 2 4 +8 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 8 4 5 +8 28
5 Villarreal 17 8 4 5 +7 28
6 Betis 16 8 4 4 +6 28
7 Osasuna 17 8 3 6 +1 27
8 Ath Bilbao 17 7 5 5 +8 26
9 Vallecano 17 7 5 5 +4 26
10 Mallorca 18 7 4 7 -1 +0.0 25
11 Girona 17 5 6 6 -1 21
12 Valencia 16 5 4 7 +5 19
13 Almeria 17 5 3 9 -8 18
14 Espanol 17 3 8 6 -5 17
15 Getafe 17 4 5 8 -8 17
16 Celta 18 4 5 9 -12 -0.0 17
17 Valladolid 17 5 2 10 -12 17
18 Cadiz 17 3 7 7 -16 16
19 Sevilla 17 3 6 8 -9 15
20 Elche 17 0 5 12 -24 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Sociedad
15′
A. Sørloth 0–1
David Silva
36′
Barrenetxea 0–2
Elustondo
Half-time 0–2
Santi Comesaña 🔁
↦ Unai López
46′
64′
🔁 Mikel Oyarzabal
↦ A. Sørloth
64′
🔁 Olasagasti
↦ David Silva
65′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ Brais Méndez
R. Nteka 🔁
↦ Ó. Trejo
67′
R. Falcao 🔁
↦ Isi Palazón
67′
69′
🔁 Robert Navarro
↦ Barrenetxea
81′
🔁 Carlos Fernández
↦ Pablo Marín
Andrés Martín 🔁
↦ Sergio Camello
83′
Salvi 🔁
↦ I. Balliu
83′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dimitrievski G
20 I. Balliu D
19 F. Lejeune D
5 Catena D
3 Fran García D
17 Unai López M
21 P. Ciss M
7 Isi Palazón M
8 Ó. Trejo M
18 Álvaro García M
34 Sergio Camello F
Bench (12)
6 Santi Comesaña
11 R. Nteka
9 R. Falcao
12 Andrés Martín
14 Salvi
24 E. Saveljich
2 Mario Hernández
4 Mario Suárez
13 Diego López
16 A. Mumin
22 José Ángel Pozo
15 Pep Chavarría

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Sociedad

4-3-1-2
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
24 R. Le Normand D
15 Diego Rico D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Illarramendi M
42 Pablo Marín M
21 David Silva M
19 A. Sørloth F
7 Barrenetxea F
Bench (12)
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
31 Olasagasti
28 Ander Martín
17 Robert Navarro
9 Carlos Fernández
22 Beñat Turrientes
30 Urko González
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
12 Aihen Muñoz
34 Jon Magunazelaia
32 Unai Marrero
14 T. Kubo

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,14
U
3,16
B ✓
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.