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Serie A

Referee: F La Penna

Verona

T T U S T

2–0

Full-time

Lecce

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 17%

11%

22%

Points per game

0,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 64%

61%

67%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,48 xG 0,76

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Verona 18. · Lecce 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	18	15	2	1	+30	47
2	Milan	18	11	5	2	+15	38
3	Juventus	18	11	4	3	+15	37
4	Inter	18	12	1	5	+14	37
5	Lazio	18	10	4	4	+16	34
6	Atalanta	18	10	4	4	+14	34
7	Roma	18	10	4	4	+7	34
8	Udinese	18	6	7	5	+5	25
9	Torino	18	6	5	7	-2	23
10	Fiorentina	18	6	5	7	-3	23
11	Bologna	18	6	4	8	-6	22
12	Empoli	18	5	7	6	-6	22
13	Monza	18	6	3	9	-5	21
14	Lecce	18	4	8	6	-2	20
15	Spezia	18	4	6	8	-11	18
16	Salernitana	18	4	6	8	-12	18
17	Sassuolo	18	4	4	10	-11	16
18	Verona	18	2	3	13	-16	9
19	Sampdoria	18	2	3	13	-23	9
20	Cremonese	18	0	7	11	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Inter	9	8	0	1	+17	24
3	Juventus	9	7	2	0	+18	23
4	Milan	9	7	1	1	+11	22
5	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Roma	9	5	1	3	+5	16
7	Bologna	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Fiorentina	9	4	3	2	+0	15
9	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+6	14
10	Empoli	9	4	2	3	+0	14
11	Udinese	9	3	4	2	+5	13
12	Monza	9	4	1	4	+3	13
13	Salernitana	9	3	3	3	+3	12
14	Spezia	9	2	6	1	+1	12
15	Torino	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Sassuolo	9	3	2	4	+1	11
17	Lecce	9	2	5	2	+0	11
18	Verona	9	2	0	7	-7	6
19	Cremonese	9	0	3	6	-11	3
20	Sampdoria	9	0	2	7	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Atalanta	9	6	2	1	+8	20
3	Roma	9	5	3	1	+2	18
4	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Milan	9	4	4	1	+4	16
6	Juventus	9	4	2	3	-3	14
7	Inter	9	4	1	4	-3	13
8	Udinese	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Torino	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Lecce	9	2	3	4	-2	9
11	Fiorentina	9	2	2	5	-3	8
12	Empoli	9	1	5	3	-6	8
13	Monza	9	2	2	5	-8	8
14	Sampdoria	9	2	1	6	-10	7
15	Bologna	9	2	1	6	-11	7
16	Spezia	9	2	0	7	-12	6
17	Salernitana	9	1	3	5	-15	6
18	Sassuolo	9	1	2	6	-12	5
19	Cremonese	9	0	4	5	-8	4
20	Verona	9	0	3	6	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.