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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Ortiz
Celta
U S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Espanol
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -22 Espanol – Celta 1–0 17. Dec -21 Celta – Espanol 3–1 19. Jul -20 Espanol – Celta 0–0 26. Sep -19 Celta – Espanol 1–1 24. Apr -19 Espanol – Celta 1–1

Match report

Celta Espanol
Hugo Mallo 🟨
15′
Joseph Aidoo 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
R. Tapia 🔁
↦ A. Solari
46′
1–0 Iago Aspas ⚽
A. Solari
47′
56′
🔁 Adri Embarba
↦ Nico Melamed
56′
🔁 Edu Expósito
↦ Fernando Calero
60′
🟨 Vinícius Souza
2–0 Gonçalo Paciência ⚽
Javier Galán
63′
Carles Pérez 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Paciência
70′
72′
⚽ Edu Expósito 2–1
Iago Aspas 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 L. Koleosho
↦ Rubén Sánchez
Gabri Veiga 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
85′
88′
🔁 Zoubdi
↦ Vinicius Souza
91′
🟨 Óscar Gil
Javi Galán 🟨
92′
Óscar Mingueza 🔁
↦ F. Cervi
92′
96′
ℹ️ Joselu
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Agustín Marchesín 🟨
97′
98′
⚽ Joselu 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 A. Marchesín G
2 Hugo Mallo D
15 J. Aidoo D
4 Unai Núñez D
17 Javier Galán D
8 Fran Beltrán M
21 A. Solari M
5 Óscar Rodríguez M
11 F. Cervi M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Gonçalo Paciência F
Bench (12)
14 R. Tapia
7 Carles Pérez
28 Gabri Veiga
3 Óscar Mingueza
29 Miguel Rodríguez
23 L. de la Torre
16 Miguel Baeza
32 Fran López
13 Iván Villar
20 Kevin Vázquez
26 Carlos Domínguez
19 W. Swedberg

Coach: E. Coudet

Espanol

4-3-3
13 B. Lecomte G
2 Óscar Gil D
24 Sergi Gómez D
4 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
12 Vinicius Souza M
5 Fernando Calero M
10 Darder M
27 Rubén Sánchez F
9 Joselu F
21 Nico Melamed F
Bench (10)
23 Adri Embarba
20 Edu Expósito
30 L. Koleosho
32 Zoubdi
28 Simo
31 Dani Villahermosa
8 K. Bare
34 Ángel Fortuño
1 Joan García
26 O. El Hilali

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
🔒
U ✓
3,68
🔒
B
4,50
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,04
🔒
U2,5
1,80
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Miguel Ortiz · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.