La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Leganes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | +42 | +30.2 | 54 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +31 | +25.4 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | +26 | +18.8 | 53 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | +22 | +17.8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | +13 | +15.6 | 44 |
| 6 |
Vallecano
|
25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | +1 | +0.5 | 35 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | +0 | +5.2 | 35 |
| 8 |
Mallorca
|
24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -7 | -1.3 | 34 |
| 9 |
Celta
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -2 | +7.2 | 32 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | -5 | -7.5 | 32 |
| 11 |
Sociedad
|
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -3 | +1.8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Girona
|
25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -5 | -1.9 | 31 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -5 | -3.9 | 31 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | +1 | -5.8 | 30 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -12 | -20.0 | 27 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -13 | -22.1 | 24 |
| 17 |
Las Palmas
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -14 | -23.1 | 23 |
| 18 |
Valencia
|
25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -16 | -9.4 | 23 |
| 19 |
Alaves
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -11 | -1.6 | 22 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -43 | -26.0 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álex Remiro
G
J. Aramburu
D
Aritz Elustondo
D
N. Aguerd
D
Javi López
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
T. Kubo
M
A. Zakharyan
M
Pablo Marín
M
Sergio Gómez
M
O. Óskarsson
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
M. Dmitrović
G
Adrià Alti
D
Juan Cruz
D
Y. Neyou
M
Dani Raba
F
Diego García
F
Coach: Borja Jiménez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Midtjylland
Betis
Sociedad
Midtjylland
Sociedad
Sociedad
Espanol
Sociedad
Osasuna
Francisco Hernández · 50 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.