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La Liga
Referee: Francisco Hernández
Sociedad
S S S T S
3–0
Full-time
Leganes
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 30%
38%
21%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 32%
21%
42%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,75 xG 0,23
56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 7
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 11. · Leganes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 17 3 5 +42 +30.2 54
2 Real Madrid 25 16 6 3 +31 +25.4 54
3 Ath Madrid 25 15 8 2 +26 +18.8 53
4 Ath Bilbao 25 13 9 3 +22 +17.8 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 +13 +15.6 44
6 Vallecano 25 9 8 8 +1 +0.5 35
7 Betis 25 9 8 8 +0 +5.2 35
8 Mallorca 24 10 4 10 -7 -1.3 34
9 Celta 25 9 5 11 -2 +7.2 32
10 Osasuna 25 7 11 7 -5 -7.5 32
11 Sociedad 24 9 4 11 -3 +1.8 31
12 Girona 25 9 4 12 -5 -1.9 31
13 Sevilla 24 8 7 9 -5 -3.9 31
14 Getafe 25 7 9 9 +1 -5.8 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 -12 -20.0 27
16 Leganes 24 5 9 10 -13 -22.1 24
17 Las Palmas 25 6 5 14 -14 -23.1 23
18 Valencia 25 5 8 12 -16 -9.4 23
19 Alaves 25 5 7 13 -11 -1.6 22
20 Valladolid 25 4 3 18 -43 -26.0 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Leganes
Nayef Aguerd 🟨
-5′
1–0 A. Zakharyan
Pablo Marín
12′
Jon Martín 🔁
↦ N. Aguerd
32′
41′
🟨 Valentin Rosier
Half-time 1–0
Jon Olasagasti 🔁
↦ A. Zakharyan
46′
2–0 T. Kubo
J. Aramburu
48′
53′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ Juan Cruz
53′
🔁 Miguel de la Fuente
↦ Diego García
Takefusa Kubo 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 Renato Tapia
63′
🟨 Óscar Rodríguez
Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
65′
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ O. Óskarsson
66′
73′
🔁 Javi Hernández
↦ Adrià Alti
73′
🔁 Roberto López
↦ S. Cissé
Jon Ander Olasagasti 🟨
74′
3–0 Jon Olasagasti
Jon Martín
80′
Luken Beitia 🔁
↦ Aritz Elustondo
83′
87′
🔁 Duk
↦ Dani Raba
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
19 J. Aramburu D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
21 N. Aguerd D
12 Javi López D
4 Martín Zubimendi M
14 T. Kubo M
8 A. Zakharyan M
28 Pablo Marín M
17 Sergio Gómez M
9 O. Óskarsson F
Bench (12)
31 Jon Martín
16 Jon Olasagasti
7 Barrenetxea
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
37 Luken Beitia
2 Odriozola
3 Aihen Muñoz
32 Aitor Fraga
13 Unai Marrero
23 Brais Méndez
41 Alex Marchal
22 Beñat Turrientes

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Leganes

5-3-2
13 M. Dmitrović G
2 Adrià Alti D
12 V. Rosier D
6 Sergio González D
22 M. Nastasić D
11 Juan Cruz D
17 Y. Neyou M
8 S. Cissé M
5 R. Tapia M
10 Dani Raba F
19 Diego García F
Bench (10)
7 Óscar Rodríguez
9 Miguel de la Fuente
20 Javi Hernández
21 Roberto López
18 Duk
1 Juan Soriano
3 Jorge Sáenz
24 J. Chicco
36 Alvin
14 D. Brašanac

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
3,79
B
7,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,45
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Francisco Hernández · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.