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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Charleroi
U S S S U
3–4
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 15/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
21%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
47%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

2,52 xG 2,28
73% Possession 27%
28 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 7
10 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Cercle Brugge 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 15 11 1 3 +13 +4.4 34
2 St. Gilloise 14 9 5 0 +21 +16.7 32
3 St Truiden 15 10 2 3 +9 +14.5 32
4 Mechelen 16 7 7 2 +7 -3.0 28
5 Gent 13 8 2 3 +9 +4.3 26
6 Antwerp 16 6 4 6 +4 -0.1 22
7 Waregem 18 6 3 9 -4 -6.6 21
8 Westerlo 18 5 6 7 -6 +1.1 21
9 Anderlecht 15 5 5 5 +0 +4.8 20
10 Charleroi 15 5 3 7 -2 -1.6 18
11 Cercle Brugge 19 4 6 9 -6 -2.9 18
12 RAAL La Louviere 18 4 6 8 -6 -7.6 18
13 Standard 16 5 3 8 -11 -9.4 18
14 Genk 13 4 4 5 -2 -0.9 16
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 3 6 7 -7 -3.9 15
16 Dender 19 2 5 12 -19 -9.7 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
9′
ℹ️ Gary Magnee
VAR: Penalty confirmed
11′
G. Magnee 0–1
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
16′
1–1 A. Scheidler
17′
28′
Nazinho 1–2
H. van der Bruggen
34′
O. Diakite 1–3
Half-time 1–3
P. Guiagon 🔁
↦ A. Colassin
46′
Y. Titraoui 🔁
↦ Y. Khalifi
46′
46′
🔁 I. Diaby
↦ E. Diop
47′
🟥 Oumar Diakité
2–3 P. Guiagon
E. Camara
58′
61′
🔁 I. Diakite
↦ L. Agyekum
61′
🔁 S. Ngoura
↦ O. Adewumi
66′
ℹ️ Steve Ngoura
VAR: Penalty confirmed
68′
G. Magnee 2–4
K. Van Den Kerkhof 🔁
↦ C. Keita
69′
F. Szymczak 🔁
↦ E. Camara
74′
77′
🟨 Ibrahim Diakité
3–4 K. Van Den Kerkhof
80′
Parfait Guiagon 🟨
84′
86′
🔁 N. De Wilde
↦ H. van der Bruggen
91′
🟨 Nils De Wilde
92′
🟨 Flávio Nazinho
Aiham Ousou 🟨
95′
Jules Gaudin 🟥
100′
Jules Gaudin ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
100′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
55 M. Delavallee
27 L. Blum D
4 A. Ousou D
95 C. Keita D
23 J. Gaudin D
40 Y. Khalifi M
5 E. Camara M
14 P. Pflucke M
8 J. Romsaas M
25 A. Colassin M
21 A. Scheidler F
Bench (9)
30 M. Kone
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof
10 P. Guiagon
22 Y. Titraoui
51 M. Kera
43 Q. Benaets
9 F. Szymczak
32 A. Boukamir
50 R. Denuit

Coach: Hans Cornelis

Cercle Brugge

4-1-3-2
1 Warleson G
15 G. Magnee D
5 E. Kakou D
66 C. Ravych D
20 Nazinho D
28 H. van der Bruggen M
6 L. Agyekum M
18 P. Gerkens M
37 E. Diop M
17 O. Adewumi F
10 O. Diakite F
Bench (9)
21 M. Delanghe
2 I. Diakite
12 K. Valy
19 I. Diaby
27 N. De Wilde
9 S. Ngoura
34 C. Herrmann
13 D. Vanzeir
23 H. Jurado

Coach: Lars Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U
3,38
B ✓
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.