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Premier League
Referee: D England
Fulham
T U T U U
3–1
Full-time
Bournemouth
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 31%
30%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
57%
68%
Both score Ø 49%
39%
59%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,55 xG 1,84
49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 25
6 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 12
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 14
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 14. · Bournemouth 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Man City 23 16 4 3 +31 +23.9 52
2 Liverpool 23 15 6 2 +30 +21.5 51
3 Arsenal 23 15 4 4 +25 +27.4 49
4 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 +19 +10.4 46
5 Tottenham 23 13 5 5 +14 +0.1 44
6 Man United 23 12 2 9 -1 -3.7 38
7 West Ham 23 10 6 7 +0 -7.2 36
8 Brighton 23 9 8 6 +4 +4.3 35
9 Newcastle 23 10 3 10 +11 +5.3 33
10 Wolves 23 9 5 9 +0 -7.0 32
11 Chelsea 23 9 4 10 -1 +9.3 31
12 Everton 24 8 5 11 -6 +3.0 29
13 Bournemouth 22 7 6 9 -11 -3.8 27
14 Fulham 23 7 5 11 -8 -12.4 26
15 Crystal Palace 23 6 6 11 -14 -7.6 24
16 Brentford 22 6 4 12 -7 +5.8 22
17 Nott'm Forest 23 5 6 12 -13 -8.5 21
18 Luton 22 5 5 12 -10 -17.9 20
19 Burnley 23 3 4 16 -23 -17.9 13
20 Sheffield United 23 2 4 17 -40 -24.8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Bournemouth
1–0 B. De Cordova-Reid
6′
2–0 Rodrigo Muniz
B. De Cordova-Reid
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Kerkez
↦ L. Kelly
50′
M. Senesi 2–1
D. Solanke
3–1 Rodrigo Muniz
Willian
52′
62′
🟨 Dominic Solanke
H. Reed 🔁
↦ T. Cairney
63′
H. Wilson 🔁
↦ B. De Cordova-Reid
63′
63′
🔁 A. Semenyo
↦ A. Scott
69′
🔁 Dango Ouattara
↦ M. Tavernier
69′
🔁 E. Ünal
↦ L. Sinisterra
A. Broja 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Muniz
75′
81′
🟨 Adam Smith
F. Ballo-Touré 🔁
↦ Andreas Pereira
85′
Adama Traoré 🔁
↦ Willian
85′
85′
🔁 R. Faivre
↦ A. Smith
Harry Wilson 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
17 B. Leno G
21 T. Castagne D
31 I. Diop D
13 T. Ream D
33 A. Robinson D
26 João Palhinha M
10 T. Cairney M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid M
18 Andreas Pereira M
20 Willian M
19 Rodrigo Muniz F
Bench (9)
6 H. Reed
8 H. Wilson
9 A. Broja
12 F. Ballo-Touré
11 Adama Traoré
1 M. Rodák
28 S. Lukić
62 J. King
44 L. De Fougerolles

Coach: Marco Silva

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
1 Neto G
15 A. Smith D
27 I. Zabarnyi D
25 M. Senesi D
5 L. Kelly D
10 R. Christie M
4 L. Cook M
16 M. Tavernier M
14 A. Scott M
17 L. Sinisterra M
9 D. Solanke F
Bench (9)
3 M. Kerkez
24 A. Semenyo
11 Dango Ouattara
26 E. Ünal
8 R. Faivre
42 M. Travers
6 C. Mepham
49 D. Sadi
19 J. Kluivert

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,58
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.