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Serie B
Referee: M Fabbri
Cremonese
T S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Reggiana
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 42%
57%
26%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 48%
35%
61%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
23 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 20
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 3. · Reggiana 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 23 14 6 3 +21 48
2 Como 24 13 6 5 +8 45
3 Cremonese 23 13 5 5 +16 44
4 Venezia 23 12 5 6 +11 41
5 Palermo 23 11 6 6 +12 39
6 Cittadella 23 10 6 7 +2 36
7 Catanzaro 23 10 5 8 +3 35
8 Brescia 24 8 8 8 +1 32
9 Modena 23 8 8 7 -3 32
10 Reggiana 23 6 11 6 -1 29
11 Sampdoria 23 8 5 10 -5 29
12 Cosenza 23 7 7 9 +0 28
13 Sudtirol 23 7 6 10 -1 27
14 Pisa 23 6 9 8 -2 27
15 Bari 23 5 12 6 -5 27
16 Ascoli 23 5 7 11 -6 22
17 Ternana 23 5 6 12 -6 21
18 FeralpiSalo 23 5 6 12 -12 21
19 Spezia 23 4 9 10 -15 21
20 Lecco 23 5 5 13 -18 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Reggiana
Paolo Ghiglione 🟨
16′
Gonzalo Abrego 🟨
19′
Matteo Bianchetti 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
César Falletti 🟨
54′
57′
A. Marcandalli 0–1
F. Melegoni
62′
🔁 J. Antiste
↦ M. Portanova
L. Zanimacchia 🔁
↦ P. Ghiglione
66′
1–1 M. Coda
L. Zanimacchia
70′
73′
🟨 Filippo Melegoni
75′
🔁 Muhamed Djamanca
↦ C. Gondo
75′
🔁 N. Girma
↦ F. Melegoni
César Falletti ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
83′
Ž. Majer 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
88′
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
88′
G. Quagliata 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
88′
Dennis Johnsen 🟥
90′
Žan Majer 🟨
91′
Y. Rocchetti 🔁
↦ M. Coda
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
21 G. Saro G
17 L. Sernicola D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
18 P. Ghiglione M
32 G. Abrego M
19 M. Castagnetti M
7 C. Falletti M
71 D. Johnsen M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 M. Coda F
Bench (11)
98 L. Zanimacchia
37 Ž. Majer
74 F. Tsadjout
33 G. Quagliata
31 Y. Rocchetti
24 G. Della Rovere
9 D. Ciofani
97 A. Livieri
11 F. Afena-Gyan
12 T. Brahja
4 L. Marrone

Coach: G. Stroppa

Reggiana

3-4-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
4 P. Rozzio D
27 A. Marcandalli D
15 R. Fiamozzi M
77 E. Kabashi M
42 A. Bianco M
3 E. Pieragnolo M
90 M. Portanova F
72 F. Melegoni F
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (11)
28 J. Antiste
7 Muhamed Djamanca
80 N. Girma
23 S. Pettinari
20 Álex Blanco
16 T. Reinhart
17 L. Libutti
8 L. Cigarini
12 G. Satalino
1 A. Sposito
25 P. Szymiński

Coach: A. Nesta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,48
U ✓
4,08
B
6,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.