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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
Cracovia
U T U T S
6–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Radomiak Radom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
21%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
32%
37%
Both score Ø 48%
53%
42%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,40 xG 0,56
59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Cracovia 13. · Radomiak Radom 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 19 12 5 2 +16 +2.2 41
2 Jagiellonia 19 11 5 3 +18 +6.6 38
3 Legia 20 10 5 5 +7 +7.4 35
4 Lech Poznan 19 9 6 4 +7 -2.0 33
5 Rakow 18 9 5 4 +13 +11.2 32
6 Pogon Szczecin 19 9 3 7 +11 +10.4 30
7 Gornik Zabrze 19 7 5 7 +1 -1.8 26
8 Stal Mielec 19 7 4 8 -3 -7.2 25
9 Zaglebie 19 7 4 8 -9 +3.3 25
10 Piast Gliwice 18 4 12 2 +4 +10.4 24
11 Radomiak Radom 19 6 6 7 +1 +2.3 24
12 Widzew Lodz 19 6 4 9 -5 -2.8 22
13 Cracovia 19 4 9 6 -6 -3.8 21
14 Puszcza 19 5 5 9 -11 -11.7 20
15 Warta Poznan 19 4 7 8 -6 -4.0 19
16 Korona Kielce 18 3 9 6 -2 -4.3 18
17 Ruch Chorzow 20 1 10 9 -13 -7.9 13
18 LKS Lodz 18 2 4 12 -23 -8.5 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Radomiak Radom
-5′
🟨 Luizão
2′
🟥 Leonardo Rocha
1–0 P. Jaroszyński
8′
2–0 B. Källman
P. Makuch
18′
2–1 D. Abramowicz
own goal
32′
Virgil Ghiță 🟨
34′
Half-time 2–1
E. Bitri 🔁
↦ V. Ghiță
46′
46′
🔁 K. Okoniewski
↦ Vagner
57′
🟨 Christos Donis
3–1 P. Makuch
P. Jaroszyński
62′
T. Oshima 🔁
↦ K. Knap
64′
J. Atanasov 🔁
↦ P. Sokołowski
64′
4–1 J. Atanasov
B. Källman
65′
66′
🔁 Luís Machado
↦ Luizão
66′
🔁 M. Kaput
↦ C. Donis
66′
🔁 L. Vušković
↦ M. Cestor
M. Bochnak 🔁
↦ O. Kakabadze
70′
Andreas Skovgaard 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 Leândro
↦ Lisandro Semedo
Jani Atanasov 🟨
84′
F. Bzdyl 🔁
↦ B. Källman
84′
86′
🟥 Michał Kaput
86′
ℹ️ Michał Kaput
VAR: Card upgrade
5–1 P. Jaroszyński
91′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-1-2
13 S. Madejski G
5 V. Ghiță D
22 A. Hoskonen D
3 A. Skovgaard D
25 O. Kakabadze M
88 P. Sokołowski M
20 K. Knap M
4 P. Jaroszyński M
10 M. Rakoczy F
7 P. Makuch F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
33 E. Bitri
18 T. Oshima
6 J. Atanasov
17 M. Bochnak
23 F. Bzdyl
72 B. Kolec
2 C. Râpă
63 F. Rózga
31 L. Hroššo

Coach: J. Zieliński

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1
28 G. Kobylak G
13 J. Grzesik D
16 M. Cichocki D
92 M. Cestor D
33 D. Abramowicz D
8 Luizão M
77 C. Donis M
70 Vagner M
27 R. Wolski M
7 Lisandro Semedo M
17 Leonardo Rocha F
Bench (9)
18 K. Okoniewski
20 Luís Machado
6 M. Kaput
4 L. Vušković
9 Leândro
14 D. Jakubik
1 F. Majchrowicz
11 D. Pik
21 J. Snopczyński

Coach: M. Kędziorek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Arys · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.