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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
0–1
Full-time
Bastia
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quevilly Rouen Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
17%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
61%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
65%
39%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
5 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Quevilly Rouen 19. · Bastia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 24 13 8 3 +23 47
2 Angers 24 14 4 6 +15 46
3 Grenoble 23 10 10 3 +12 40
4 Laval 23 11 6 6 +3 39
5 Amiens 23 9 8 6 -1 35
6 Pau FC 23 8 9 6 +1 33
7 Caen 23 9 6 8 +0 33
8 Ajaccio 23 9 6 8 -2 33
9 Guingamp 23 8 8 7 +5 32
10 Paris FC 23 9 5 9 +1 32
11 St Etienne 23 9 5 9 -1 32
12 Rodez 23 8 7 8 +1 31
13 Bordeaux 23 8 5 10 -5 29
14 Concarneau 23 8 4 11 -8 28
15 Troyes 23 6 9 8 -1 27
16 Bastia 23 7 6 10 -2 27
17 Annecy 23 5 8 10 -5 23
18 Dunkerque 23 6 5 12 -15 23
19 Quevilly Rouen 23 4 9 10 -4 21
20 Valenciennes 23 2 8 13 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Quevilly Rouen Bastia
23′
M. Alfarela 0–1
Jason Pendant 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ M. Camara
46′
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet 🟨
58′
60′
🟨 Tom Ducrocq
61′
🟨 Florian Bianchini
P. Yade 🔁
↦ L. Delaurier-Chaubet
61′
Alpha Sissoko 🟨
62′
65′
🔁 B. Santelli
↦ C. Vincent
71′
🟨 Cheick Keita
71′
🔁 M. Siby
↦ G. Charbonnier
P. Sakho 🔁
↦ D. Poha
77′
Sambou Soumano 🟥
80′
83′
🔁 Dylan Tavares
↦ F. Bohnert
84′
🔁 A. Roncaglia
↦ J. Janneh
84′
🔁 T. Meynadier
↦ C. Traoré
Pape Ousmane Sakho 🟨
88′
G. Sangaré 🔁
↦ N. Cadiou
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Quevilly Rouen

4-1-4-1
1 B. Leroy G
58 A. Sissoko D
6 A. Batisse D
5 T. Cissokho D
7 J. Pendant D
4 B. Pierret M
23 L. Delaurier-Chaubet M
31 D. Poha M
8 N. Cadiou M
93 M. Camara M
9 S. Soumano F
Bench (7)
19 K. Coulibaly
90 P. Yade
77 P. Sakho
17 G. Sangaré
16 K. Bonnevie
14 A. Do Marcolino
21 Y. Roche

Coach: J. Garcia

Bastia

4-2-3-1
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
95 C. Keita D
99 Y. Okou D
22 C. Traoré D
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
7 C. Vincent M
14 G. Charbonnier M
17 F. Bianchini M
10 M. Alfarela F
Bench (7)
9 B. Santelli
26 M. Siby
42 Dylan Tavares
4 A. Roncaglia
24 T. Meynadier
31 F. Conté
23 J. Fabri

Coach: L. Laslandes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U
3,27
B ✓
3,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.