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Serie B

Referee: F Cosso

Bari

U S U T T

3–1

Full-time

Lecco

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Lecco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

4,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 22%

22%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

39%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 9

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 15. · Lecco 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	24	15	6	3	+22	51
2	Cremonese	24	13	6	5	+16	45
3	Como	24	13	6	5	+8	45
4	Venezia	24	13	5	6	+14	44
5	Palermo	24	12	6	6	+13	42
6	Cittadella	24	10	6	8	+1	36
7	Catanzaro	23	10	5	8	+3	35
8	Modena	24	8	9	7	-3	33
9	Brescia	24	8	8	8	+1	32
10	Reggiana	24	6	12	6	-1	30
11	Cosenza	24	7	8	9	+0	29
12	Sampdoria	23	8	5	10	-5	29
13	Pisa	23	6	9	8	-2	27
14	Sudtirol	24	7	6	11	-4	27
15	Bari	23	5	12	6	-5	27
16	Ascoli	23	5	7	11	-6	22
17	Ternana	23	5	6	12	-6	21
18	FeralpiSalo	24	5	6	13	-13	21
19	Spezia	23	4	9	10	-15	21
20	Lecco	23	5	5	13	-18	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	7	5	0	+11	26
2	Venezia	12	8	2	2	+9	26
3	Como	12	7	3	2	+6	24
4	Cittadella	13	7	2	4	+5	23
5	Palermo	12	7	1	4	+8	22
6	Cremonese	13	6	4	3	+8	22
7	Catanzaro	11	6	2	3	+6	20
8	Modena	12	5	3	4	+1	18
9	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+5	16
10	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Bari	11	3	6	2	-1	15
12	Reggiana	12	2	8	2	-1	14
13	Sampdoria	12	4	2	6	-3	14
14	Ternana	12	3	4	5	+1	13
15	Ascoli	11	3	3	5	+0	12
16	FeralpiSalo	12	3	3	6	-1	12
17	Sudtirol	12	3	3	6	-3	12
18	Pisa	11	2	5	4	-2	11
19	Lecco	11	3	1	7	-7	10
20	Spezia	11	1	6	4	-3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	8	1	3	+11	25
2	Cremonese	11	7	2	2	+8	23
3	Como	12	6	3	3	+2	21
4	Palermo	12	5	5	2	+5	20
5	Venezia	12	5	3	4	+5	18
6	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
7	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+0	16
8	Pisa	12	4	4	4	+0	16
9	Sudtirol	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	-2	15
11	Catanzaro	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Modena	12	3	6	3	-4	15
13	Cittadella	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Cosenza	12	3	4	5	-5	13
15	Bari	12	2	6	4	-4	12
16	Spezia	12	3	3	6	-12	12
17	Ascoli	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Lecco	12	2	4	6	-11	10
19	FeralpiSalo	12	2	3	7	-12	9
20	Ternana	11	2	2	7	-7	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.