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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
1–2
Full-time
Paderborn
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 38%
30%
45%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
85%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
80%
70%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 16. · Paderborn 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 21 11 9 1 +19 42
2 Hamburg 21 11 4 6 +12 37
3 Holstein Kiel 20 11 3 6 +8 36
4 Greuther Furth 20 10 5 5 +8 35
5 Hannover 21 9 7 5 +12 34
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 9 5 7 +14 32
7 Paderborn 20 9 4 7 +0 31
8 Elversberg 21 8 5 8 -3 29
9 Nurnberg 21 8 5 8 -9 29
10 Karlsruhe 21 7 7 7 +0 28
11 Magdeburg 21 7 6 8 +3 27
12 Wehen 21 7 6 8 -2 27
13 Hertha 20 7 5 8 +4 26
14 Schalke 04 20 7 2 11 -8 23
15 Braunschweig 21 7 2 12 -12 23
16 Kaiserslautern 20 6 3 11 -8 21
17 Hansa Rostock 20 6 2 12 -14 20
18 Osnabruck 20 1 8 11 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Paderborn
1–0 J. Elvedi
T. Puchacz
3′
J. Zimmer 🔁
↦ F. Ronstadt
34′
Tymoteusz Puchacz ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
41′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 David Kinsombi
A. Opoku 🔁
↦ R. Ache
55′
D. Abiama 🔁
↦ R. Tachie
55′
F. Stojilković 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
55′
Filip Kaloč 🟨
56′
Dickson Abiama 🟨
60′
63′
ℹ️ Ilyas Ansah
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Boris Tomiak 🟨
64′
65′
D. Kinsombi 1–1
66′
🔁 R. Leipertz
↦ K. Kostons
66′
🔁 F. Platte
↦ S. Klaas
66′
🔁 M. Hoffmeier
↦ C. Brackelmann
72′
V. Musliu 1–2
K. Klefisch
K. Redondo 🔁
↦ T. Puchacz
78′
79′
🔁 S. Conteh
↦ I. Ansah
87′
🔁 J. Heuer
↦ V. Musliu
92′
🟨 Raphael Obermair
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
18 J. Krahl G
2 B. Tomiak D
14 N. Soldo D
33 J. Elvedi D
27 F. Ronstadt M
26 F. Kaloč M
16 J. Niehues M
15 T. Puchacz M
29 R. Tachie F
7 M. Ritter F
9 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
8 J. Zimmer
17 A. Opoku
40 D. Abiama
25 F. Stojilković
11 K. Redondo
4 A. Aremu
24 B. Simakala
5 K. Kraus
32 R. Himmelmann

Coach: D. Grammozis

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
1 P. Boevink G
16 V. Musliu D
43 M. Ens D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
8 D. Kinsombi M
27 K. Klefisch M
26 S. Klaas M
7 F. Bilbija F
29 I. Ansah F
10 K. Kostons F
Bench (9)
13 R. Leipertz
36 F. Platte
33 M. Hoffmeier
11 S. Conteh
24 J. Heuer
35 A. Schulz
22 M. Hansen
6 M. Schuster
32 A. Zehnter

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,71
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.