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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Brescia
T U T T T
0–4
Full-time
Torino
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 24%
20%
27%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
55%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
5 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 19. · Torino 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 11 9 2 0 +10 29
2 Inter 11 9 1 1 +13 28
3 Roma 11 6 4 1 +8 22
4 Lazio 11 6 3 2 +13 21
5 Atalanta 11 6 3 2 +12 21
6 Cagliari 11 6 3 2 +8 21
7 Napoli 11 5 3 3 +6 18
8 Fiorentina 11 4 4 3 +2 16
9 Verona 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Parma 11 4 2 5 +1 14
11 Sassuolo 11 4 1 6 +0 13
12 Milan 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Udinese 11 4 1 6 -10 13
14 Bologna 12 3 3 6 -4 12
15 Torino 11 3 2 6 -6 11
16 Lecce 11 2 4 5 -8 10
17 Genoa 11 2 2 7 -12 8
18 Sampdoria 11 2 2 7 -12 8
19 Brescia 10 2 1 7 -6 7
20 Spal 11 2 1 8 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Torino
Andrea Cistana 🟨
15′
17′
Andrea Belotti 0–1
Aleš Matějů 🟨
26′
26′
Andrea Belotti 0–2
35′
🟨 Cristian Ansaldi
Aleš Matějů 🟨
41′
Aleš Matějů 🟥
41′
Half-time 0–2
Bruno Martella 🔁
↦ Mario Balotelli
46′
59′
🟨 Saša Lukić
Alfredo Donnarumma 🔁
↦ Nikolas Špalek
60′
Giangiacomo Magnani 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 Alex Berenguer
↦ Simone Verdi
67′
🔁 Diego Laxalt
↦ Saša Lukić
73′
🟨 Soualiho Meïté
75′
Alex Berenguer 0–3
Diego Laxalt
78′
🔁 Lorenzo De Silvestri
↦ Cristian Ansaldi
80′
Alex Berenguer 0–4
Jaromír Zmrhal 🔁
↦ Florian Aye
83′
Sandro Tonali 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 Jesse Joronen G
2 Stefano Sabelli D
15 Andrea Cistana D
20 Giangiacomo Magnani D
3 Aleš Matějů D
25 Dimitri Bisoli M
4 Sandro Tonali M
28 Rômulo M
7 Nikolas Špalek M
18 Florian Aye F
45 Mario Balotelli F
Bench (8)
22 Enrico Alfonso
5 Daniele Gastaldello
26 Bruno Martella
19 Massimiliano Mangraviti
23 Leonardo Morosini
6 Emanuele Ndoj
8 Jaromír Zmrhal
9 Alfredo Donnarumma

Torino

3-5-1-1
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
33 Nicolas N'Koulou D
36 Gleison Bremer D
34 Ola Aina M
23 Soualiho Meïté M
88 Tomás Rincón M
7 Saša Lukić M
15 Cristian Ansaldi M
24 Simone Verdi F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (9)
18 Samir Ujkani
25 Antonio Rosati
4 Lyanco
30 Koffi Djidji
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri
93 Diego Laxalt
20 Simone Edera
22 Vincenzo Millico
21 Alex Berenguer

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,78
U
3,29
B ✓
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.