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Serie A
Referee: M Mariani
Parma
T S S T S
0–2
Full-time
Napoli
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
4 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Jul -20 Parma – Napoli 2–1 14. Dec -19 Napoli – Parma 1–2 24. Feb -19 Parma – Napoli 0–4 26. Sep -18 Napoli – Parma 3–0

Match report

Parma Napoli
35′
🟨 Diego Demme
Matteo Darmian 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
Bruno Alves 🟨
59′
61′
🔁 V. Osimhen
↦ D. Demme
63′
⚽ D. Mertens 0–1
J. Dezi 🔁
↦ G. Brugman
69′
Y. Karamoh 🔁
↦ R. Inglese
69′
Giuseppe Pezzella 🟨
73′
Juraj Kucka 🟨
75′
77′
⚽ L. Insigne 0–2
84′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ Fabián Ruiz
84′
🔁 M. Politano
↦ H. Lozano
88′
🔁 S. Lobotka
↦ P. Zieliński
89′
🔁 A. Petagna
↦ D. Mertens
L. Siligardi 🔁
↦ A. Grassi
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Parma

4-3-1-2
1 L. Sepe G
22 Bruno Alves D
36 M. Darmian D
2 S. Iacoponi D
3 G. Pezzella D
33 J. Kucka M
15 G. Brugman M
23 Hernani M
8 A. Grassi M
45 R. Inglese F
11 A. Cornelius F
Bench (12)
17 J. Dezi
10 Y. Karamoh
26 L. Siligardi
32 L. Simonetti
4 B. Balogh
31 G. Ricci
21 K. Dermaku
93 M. Sprocati
46 F. Alastra
44 R. Kasa
16 V. Laurini
99 A. Adorante

Coach: F. Liverani

Napoli

4-3-3
25 D. Ospina G
44 K. Manolas D
26 K. Koulibaly D
23 E. Hysaj D
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
4 D. Demme M
20 P. Zieliński M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Mertens F
24 L. Insigne F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (12)
9 V. Osimhen
7 E. Elmas
21 M. Politano
68 S. Lobotka
37 A. Petagna
1 A. Meret
16 N. Contini Baranovsky
6 Mário Rui
13 S. Luperto
19 N. Maksimović
31 F. Ghoulam
33 A. Rrahmani

Coach: G. Gattuso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,13
🔒
U
4,16
🔒
B ✓
1,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,62
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,29
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.