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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Wolfsburg
S U T S T
0–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 FC Koln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Union Berlin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
15 M'gladbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Leverkusen
33′
🟨 Charles Aránguiz
Xaver Schlager 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ K. Demirbay
63′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ L. Alario
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ A. Mehmedi
69′
Paulo Otávio 🔁
↦ J. Roussillon
69′
76′
🔁 Wendell
↦ D. Sinkgraven
Y. Gerhardt 🔁
↦ João Victor
78′
85′
🔁 J. Baumgartlinger
↦ F. Wirtz
85′
🔁 J. Pohjanpalo
↦ K. Bellarabi
90′
🟨 Julian Baumgartlinger
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
4 M. Lacroix D
14 A. Mehmedi M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen D
24 X. Schlager M
7 J. Brekalo F
40 João Victor F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
11 F. Klaus
6 Paulo Otávio
31 Y. Gerhardt
21 B. Białek
33 D. Ginczek
10 Y. Mallı
39 T. Siersleben
12 P. Pervan
29 O. Marmoush

Coach: O. Glasner

Leverkusen

4-1-4-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
5 S. Bender D
8 L. Bender D
22 D. Sinkgraven D
12 E. Tapsoba D
20 C. Aránguiz M
10 K. Demirbay M
27 F. Wirtz M
38 K. Bellarabi M
13 L. Alario F
19 M. Diaby M
Bench (9)
11 N. Amiri
14 P. Schick
18 Wendell
15 J. Baumgartlinger
17 J. Pohjanpalo
25 E. Palacios
6 A. Dragović
4 J. Tah
36 N. Lomb

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,89
U ✓
3,44
B
2,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.