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Championship

Referee: O Langford

Stoke

S U S S U

0–2

Full-time

Bristol City

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Bristol City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

0,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

8 Shots 10

0 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stoke 17. · Bristol City 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Luton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sheffield Weds	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Norwich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Watford	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Millwall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+4	3
11	Brentford	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	QPR	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Rotherham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Preston	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Middlesbrough	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Derby	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Barnsley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-4	0
23	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Wycombe	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Reading	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Luton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Reading	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Luton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.