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Premier League
Referee: D Coote
Southampton
U U S S T
2–5
Full-time
Tottenham
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 6
16 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Southampton 10. · Tottenham 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Everton 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Crystal Palace 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Leeds 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Tottenham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Brighton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Man United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 West Ham 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Fulham 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 West Brom 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Southampton Tottenham
3′
ℹ️ Harry Kane
VAR: Goal cancelled
Oriol Romeu 🟨
5′
1–0 D. Ings
K. Walker-Peters
32′
Che Adams 🟨
39′
Ryan Bertrand 🟨
44′
45′
🟨 Tanguy Ndombélé
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Lo Celso
↦ T. Ndombèlé
47′
Son Heung-Min 1–1
H. Kane
47′
Son Heung-Min 1–2
H. Kane
W. Smallbone 🔁
↦ Oriol Romeu
55′
61′
🔁 E. Lamela
↦ Lucas Moura
64′
Son Heung-Min 1–3
H. Kane
Jack Stephens 🟨
68′
N. Tella 🔁
↦ S. Armstrong
68′
73′
Son Heung-Min 1–4
H. Kane
79′
🟨 Matt Doherty
S. Long 🔁
↦ C. Adams
80′
82′
H. Kane 1–5
84′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ H. Kane
Moussa Djenepo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
88′
90′
🟨 Giovani Lo Celso
2–5 D. Ings
90′
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Southampton

4-4-2
1 A. McCarthy G
3 R. Bertrand D
5 J. Stephens D
35 J. Bednarek D
2 K. Walker-Peters D
6 Oriol Romeu M
17 S. Armstrong M
8 J. Ward-Prowse M
12 M. Djenepo M
9 D. Ings F
10 C. Adams F
Bench (7)
20 W. Smallbone
23 N. Tella
7 S. Long
14 M. Obafemi
29 J. Vokins
44 F. Forster
4 J. Vestergaard

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 H. Lloris G
2 M. Doherty D
33 B. Davies D
6 D. Sánchez D
27 Lucas Moura F
5 P. Højbjerg M
15 E. Dier D
8 H. Winks M
28 T. Ndombèlé M
7 Son Heung-Min F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
18 G. Lo Celso
11 E. Lamela
23 S. Bergwijn
17 M. Sissoko
12 J. Hart
24 S. Aurier
4 T. Alderweireld

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
3,35
B ✓
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Coote · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.