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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Montpellier
S T T S S
4–1
Full-time
Angers
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,2
1,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 5
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 6. · Angers 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 St Etienne 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Lens 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Lille 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Monaco 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Montpellier 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Paris SG 4 2 0 2 +2 6
8 Marseille 3 2 0 1 +0 6
9 Angers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Nice 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Lyon 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +1 5
13 Nimes 4 1 1 2 +1 4
14 Nantes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Lorient 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Brest 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Reims 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Metz 3 0 0 3 -3 0
19 Dijon 3 0 0 3 -6 0
20 Strasbourg 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Angers
11′
🟨 E. Ebosse
D. Congre 🟨
16′
1–0 A. Souquet
G. Laborde
18′
25′
S. Bahoken 1–1
A. Fulgini
A. Delort 🟨
33′
A. Souquet 🟨
41′
2–1 A. Delort
G. Laborde
43′
Half-time 2–1
S. Sambia 🔁
↦ A. Souquet
46′
56′
🟨 S. Bahoken
3–1 A. Delort
S. Sambia
60′
62′
🟨 M. Pavlovic
62′
🟨 S.
63′
🔁 R. Aït Nouri
↦ E. Ebosse
63′
🔁 S. Thioub
↦ L. Coulibaly
N. Cozza 🟨
66′
A. Oyongo 🔁
↦ N. Cozza
68′
73′
🔁 L. Diony
↦ T. Mangani
F. Mollet 🔁
↦ D. Le Tallec
74′
74′
🔁 M. Cho
↦ S. Bahoken
J. Chotard 🔁
↦ J. Ferri
84′
S. Mavididi 🔁
↦ A. Delort
85′
4–1 F. Mollet
G. Laborde
86′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

3-4-1-2
1 J. Omlin G
3 D. Congré D
2 A. Souquet M
5 Pedro Mendes D
31 N. Cozza D
14 D. Le Tallec M
12 J. Ferri M
11 T. Savanier F
7 M. Ristić M
9 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
Bench (9)
6 S. Sambia
8 A. Oyongo
25 F. Mollet
13 J. Chotard
19 S. Mavididi
26 S. Benchama
24 Yun Il-Lok
16 D. Bertaud
20 K. Dolly

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Angers

3-4-2-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
4 M. Pavlović D
8 I. Traoré D
25 A. Bamba M
6 E. Ebosse D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
10 A. Fulgini F
23 A. Bobichon F
14 L. Coulibaly M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (8)
2 R. Aït Nouri
22 S. Thioub
9 L. Diony
21 M. Cho
12 Z. Ould Khaled
16 L. Butelle
29 V. Manceau
20 K. Boma

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,27
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.