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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Tondela
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Rio Ave
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Feb -20 Tondela – Rio Ave 1–2 15. Sep -19 Rio Ave – Tondela 2–4 1. Feb -19 Rio Ave – Tondela 2–2 26. Aug -18 Tondela – Rio Ave 1–1 16. Apr -18 Rio Ave – Tondela 1–1

Match report

Tondela Rio Ave
1–0 Ricardo Alves ⚽
Salvador Agra
9′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Bruno Moreira
↦ Lucas Piazón
Rafael Barbosa 🔁
↦ Salvador Agra
71′
73′
🔁 Francisco Geraldes
↦ Nélson Monte
73′
🔁 Gabrielzinho
↦ Gelson Dala
Tiago Almeida 🔁
↦ Bebeto
76′
Jota Gonçalves 🔁
↦ João Pedro
85′
86′
🔁 R. Meshino
↦ Tarantini
Tomislav Štrkalj 🟨
88′
92′
⚽ R. Meshino 1–1
Francisco Geraldes
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tondela

4-3-3
99 B. Niasse G
23 Yohan Tavares D
2 Bebeto D
20 Filipe Ferreira D
34 Ricardo Alves D
8 João Pedro M
14 Jaume Grau M
5 João Jaquité M
6 Pedro Augusto F
7 Salvador Agra F
11 T. Štrkalj F
Bench (7)
70 Rafael Barbosa
19 Tiago Almeida
4 Jota Gonçalves
80 Telmo Arcanjo
16 João Mendes
88 Pedro Trigueira
9 Rúben Fonseca

Coach: Pako Ayestarán

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 P. Kieszek G
33 Aderllan Santos D
4 Nélson Monte D
24 Pedro Amaral D
6 T. Borevković D
8 Tarantini M
10 Diego Lopes M
23 N. Jambor M
21 Carlos Mané M
14 Lucas Piazón M
7 Gelson Dala F
Bench (9)
9 Bruno Moreira
11 Francisco Geraldes
70 Gabrielzinho
40 R. Meshino
22 Léo
20 Costinha
27 Rúben Gonçalves
28 N. Pijnaker
5 Filipe Augusto

Coach: Mário Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,75
🔒
U ✓
3,19
🔒
B
2,06
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,32
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,59
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.