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Serie A

Referee: G Manganiello

Sampdoria

T U T T S

3–1

Full-time

Crotone

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

6 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 11. · Crotone 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	12	8	4	0	+14	28
2	Inter	12	8	3	1	+15	27
3	Napoli	11	8	0	3	+17	24
4	Roma	12	7	3	2	+10	24
5	Sassuolo	12	6	5	1	+9	23
6	Juventus	11	5	6	0	+11	21
7	Verona	13	5	5	3	+5	20
8	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Lazio	12	5	3	4	-2	18
10	Udinese	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Sampdoria	12	4	2	6	-2	14
12	Cagliari	12	3	4	5	-5	13
13	Bologna	12	4	1	7	-6	13
14	Parma	12	2	6	4	-7	12
15	Benevento	12	3	3	6	-10	12
16	Spezia	12	2	5	5	-8	11
17	Fiorentina	13	2	5	6	-8	11
18	Genoa	12	1	4	7	-12	7
19	Torino	12	1	3	8	-10	6
20	Crotone	12	1	3	8	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Inter	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Napoli	6	4	0	2	+10	12
4	Milan	6	3	3	0	+7	12
5	Juventus	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Verona	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Sassuolo	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Fiorentina	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Bologna	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Cagliari	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Parma	6	1	4	1	-1	7
13	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Lazio	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Benevento	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	+0	4
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	-5	4
18	Crotone	6	1	1	4	-6	4
19	Spezia	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Torino	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Inter	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Sassuolo	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Lazio	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Napoli	5	4	0	1	+7	12
6	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Juventus	6	2	4	0	+5	10
8	Roma	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Sampdoria	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Verona	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Spezia	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Udinese	5	2	1	2	+1	7
13	Benevento	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Cagliari	7	1	3	3	-5	6
15	Parma	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Torino	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Bologna	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Genoa	5	0	3	2	-7	3
19	Fiorentina	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Crotone	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.