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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Marseille

S S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Reims

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Reims

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/15 matches

Win Ø 41%

62%

20%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

38%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

62%

53%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%

12 Shots 2

6 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 4. · Reims 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	15	9	5	1	+18	32
2	Paris SG	15	10	1	4	+25	31
3	Lyon	15	8	6	1	+14	30
4	Marseille	13	8	3	2	+8	27
5	Montpellier	15	8	2	5	+2	26
6	Rennes	15	7	4	4	+3	25
7	Lens	15	7	3	5	+1	24
8	Metz	16	6	5	5	+3	23
9	Monaco	15	7	2	6	+2	23
10	Angers	15	7	2	6	-4	23
11	Brest	15	7	1	7	-2	22
12	Nice	14	6	3	5	+2	21
13	Bordeaux	15	5	4	6	-2	19
14	St Etienne	15	4	4	7	-7	16
15	Strasbourg	15	4	2	9	-4	14
16	Nantes	15	3	5	7	-9	14
17	Reims	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Lorient	15	3	2	10	-11	11
19	Nimes	15	3	2	10	-18	11
20	Dijon	15	1	6	8	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Monaco	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Paris SG	8	5	1	2	+13	16
4	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+10	15
5	Brest	7	5	0	2	+3	15
6	Metz	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Rennes	8	4	1	3	+0	13
8	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Montpellier	8	4	0	4	-2	12
10	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+3	11
11	Lens	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Angers	8	3	1	4	-4	10
13	Nantes	7	2	3	2	-4	9
14	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Lorient	7	2	1	4	+0	7
16	Reims	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	Nice	7	2	1	4	-5	7
18	Strasbourg	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Dijon	8	0	4	4	-6	4
20	Nimes	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+12	15
3	Lyon	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Nice	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Angers	7	4	1	2	+0	13
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	+0	13
8	Lille	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Rennes	7	3	3	1	+3	12
10	Metz	8	2	4	2	+1	10
11	Strasbourg	8	3	0	5	+2	9
12	St Etienne	8	2	2	4	-5	8
13	Brest	8	2	1	5	-5	7
14	Bordeaux	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Nimes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Reims	8	1	3	4	-2	6
17	Monaco	7	2	0	5	-5	6
18	Nantes	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-9	5
20	Lorient	8	1	1	6	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.