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Super League

Referee: M Turkes

Luzern

U S T U S

1–4

Full-time

Lugano

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 47%

44%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

56%

Both score Ø 69%

69%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 5. · Lugano 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	16	9	2	5	+22	+11.5	29
2	Lugano	16	8	4	4	+6	+2.5	28
3	Servette	16	8	4	4	+3	+0.2	28
4	Zurich	16	7	6	3	+4	-2.8	27
5	Luzern	16	7	5	4	+5	+1.8	26
6	Lausanne	16	7	3	6	+3	+9.4	24
7	Sion	17	6	5	6	+3	+6.8	23
8	St. Gallen	16	5	6	5	+4	-5.1	21
9	Young Boys	17	5	5	7	-5	+1.6	20
10	Yverdon	17	4	5	8	-11	-11.3	17
11	Grasshoppers	17	2	6	9	-11	-0.8	12
12	Winterthur	16	3	3	10	-23	-13.8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	8	6	1	1	+10	+5.5	19
2	Lausanne	8	6	0	2	+8	+8.6	18
3	Servette	8	5	2	1	+4	+2.2	17
4	Sion	9	4	4	1	+8	+9.8	16
5	Basel	8	5	1	2	+8	+9.3	16
6	Luzern	8	4	2	2	+5	+5.1	14
7	Young Boys	8	4	2	2	+3	-1.8	14
8	St. Gallen	8	3	4	1	+7	+0.4	13
9	Zurich	8	3	4	1	+3	-2.3	13
10	Yverdon	8	3	1	4	-5	-3.1	10
11	Winterthur	8	3	1	4	-8	-3.2	10
12	Grasshoppers	9	1	5	3	-3	+3.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	8	4	2	2	+1	-0.4	14
2	Basel	8	4	1	3	+14	+2.2	13
3	Luzern	8	3	3	2	+0	-3.3	12
4	Servette	8	3	2	3	-1	-2.0	11
5	Lugano	8	2	3	3	-4	-3.1	9
6	St. Gallen	8	2	2	4	-3	-5.5	8
7	Sion	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.0	7
8	Yverdon	9	1	4	4	-6	-8.3	7
9	Lausanne	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.8	6
10	Young Boys	9	1	3	5	-8	+3.4	6
11	Grasshoppers	8	1	1	6	-8	-4.2	4
12	Winterthur	8	0	2	6	-15	-10.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.