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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Antwerp
S T U T U
2–1
Full-time
Mechelen
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,05 xG 2,51
40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 25
2 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 13
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St Truiden 4 3 1 0 +5 +5.4 10
2 Anderlecht 4 3 0 1 +6 +5.5 9
3 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +4 +1.9 9
4 St. Gilloise 3 2 1 0 +8 +7.1 7
5 Cercle Brugge 4 2 0 2 +2 +0.5 6
6 Mechelen 2 1 1 0 +1 -2.3 4
7 Waregem 5 1 1 3 -4 -2.2 4
8 Standard 4 1 1 2 -4 -3.0 4
9 RAAL La Louviere 4 1 0 3 -3 -2.8 3
10 Westerlo 4 1 0 3 -5 -1.4 3
11 Charleroi 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.0 1
12 Dender 3 0 1 2 -4 -4.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Mechelen
11′
T. Koudou 0–1
1–1 T. Somers
V. Janssen
27′
31′
🟨 Lion Lauberbach
Half-time 1–1
S. Renders 🔁
↦ D. Foulon
52′
A. Verstraeten 🔁
↦ Y. Tsunashima
52′
Dennis Praet 🟥
54′
Dennis Praet ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
54′
61′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ B. Bafdili
61′
🔁 B. Antonio
↦ M. Zekri
K. Kouyate 🔁
↦ G. Bijl
62′
D. Gabriel Jesus 🔁
↦ M. Al Sahafi
62′
79′
🔁 H. Ozdemir
↦ K. Mrabti
2–1 M. Doumbia
A. Verstraeten
80′
85′
🔁 P. Pflucke
↦ M. Konate
87′
🟨 Thérence Koudou
87′
🟨 Fredrik Hammar
M. Benitez 🔁
↦ M. Doumbia
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Antwerp

3-1-4-2
15 Y. Thoelen G
4 Y. Tsunashima D
26 R. Bozhinov D
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
8 D. Praet M
24 T. Somers M
23 G. Bijl M
20 M. Doumbia M
5 D. Foulon M
18 V. Janssen F
9 M. Al Sahafi F
Bench (9)
99 T. Nozawa
16 M. Benitez
17 S. Renders
19 M. Urinboev
21 A. Verstraeten
22 F. Adekami
98 K. Kouyate
43 Y. Hamdaoui
92 D. Gabriel Jesus

Coach: Faris Haroun

Mechelen

3-4-1-2
1 O. De Wolf G
2 R. Halhal D
8 M. Konate D
4 G. Diouf D
7 T. Koudou M
6 F. Hammar M
16 R. Schoofs M
23 M. Zekri M
35 B. Bafdili F
20 L. Lauberbach F
19 K. Mrabti F
Bench (8)
13 N. Miras
5 R. Teague
14 B. Raman
18 I. Struyf
21 H. Ozdemir
22 L. Golic
38 B. Antonio
77 P. Pflucke

Coach: Frederic Vanderbiest

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
U
3,64
B
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.