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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Mainz
U S U S T
0–1
Full-time
FC Koln
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,52 xG 1,36
51% Possession 49%
19 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
12 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Apr -24 Mainz – FC Koln 1–1 10. Dec -23 FC Koln – Mainz 0–0 15. Apr -23 FC Koln – Mainz 1–1 21. Oct -22 Mainz – FC Koln 5–0 9. Apr -22 FC Koln – Mainz 3–2

Match report

Mainz FC Koln
N. Weiper 🔁
↦ B. Hollerbach
15′
27′
🟨 Kristoffer Lund
Half-time 0–0
Paul Nebel 🟥
60′
S. Widmer 🔁
↦ A. Caci
65′
S. Bell 🔁
↦ A. Hanche-Olsen
65′
L. Maloney 🔁
↦ N. Amiri
65′
67′
🔁 C. Ozkacar
↦ J. Thielmann
67′
🔁 S. El Mala
↦ T. Krauss
67′
🔁 R. Ache
↦ K. Lund
74′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ S. Sebulonsen
80′
🔁 F. Kainz
↦ I. Johannesson
81′
🟨 Joel Schmied
90′
⚽ M. Bulter 0–1
L. Waldschmidt
A. Sieb 🔁
↦ D. Kohr
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mainz

3-4-2-1
27 R. Zentner G
21 D. da Costa D
25 A. Hanche-Olsen D
31 D. Kohr D
19 A. Caci M
6 K. Sano M
10 N. Amiri M
2 P. Mwene M
8 P. Nebel F
7 Lee Jae-Sung F
17 B. Hollerbach F
Bench (9)
1 L. Riess
30 S. Widmer
16 S. Bell
5 M. Leitsch
15 L. Maloney
9 A. Nordin
44 N. Weiper
37 B. Bobzien
11 A. Sieb

Coach: Urs Fischer

FC Koln

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schwabe G
2 J. Schmied D
4 T. Hubers D
5 T. Krauss D
28 S. Sebulonsen M
18 I. Johannesson M
6 E. Martel M
32 K. Lund M
29 J. Thielmann F
16 J. Kaminski F
30 M. Bulter F
Bench (9)
20 R. Zieler
25 J. Gazibegovic
33 R. van den Berg
39 C. Ozkacar
8 D. Huseinbasic
11 F. Kainz
13 S. El Mala
7 L. Waldschmidt
9 R. Ache

Coach: Lukas Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
🔒
U
3,61
🔒
B ✓
3,95
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,80
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,96
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.